HODL 10-K & 10-Q changes, risk factors and insider trading
VanEck Bitcoin ETF · CBOE · Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers · CIK 1838028 · All filings on SEC.gov
At a glance
What changed in the latest 10-K
Risk Factors
New heading “Disruptions or other problems in the supply chain for bitcoin mining hardware and difficulties in obtaining new hardware could cause harm to the Bitcoin network.”
New heading “Digital Asset Treasury Companies Risk”
New heading “The Trust is not obligated to pay periodic distributions or dividends to Shareholders.”
Largest changes
“Law enforcement agencies have often relied on the transparency of blockchains to facilitate investigations. However, certain privacy-enhancing features have been, or are expected to be, introduced to a number of digital asset networks. If the Bitcoin network were to adopt any of these privacy-enhancing features, these features may provide law enforcement agencies with less visibility into transaction-level data. …”see in full comparison
“The Trust will not hold or trade in commodity interests (as currently defined) regulated by the CEA, as administered by the CFTC. Furthermore, the Sponsor believes that the Trust is not a commodity pool for purposes of the CEA, and that neither the Sponsor nor the Trustee is subject to regulation by the CFTC as a commodity pool operator or a commodity trading advisor in connection with the operation of the Trust. Consequently, Shareholders will not have the regulatory protections provided to investors in CEA-regulated instruments or commodity pools. …”see in full comparison
“There are a small number of major suppliers of bitcoin mining hardware globally, and a significant amount of bitcoin mining hardware manufacturing is located in China. Mining hardware manufacturers may fail to supply the mining hardware due to their inability to manufacture sufficient mining hardware, whether due to shortages of components or resources such as semiconductors, or changes of laws and trade restrictions (including export/import restrictions, quotas or tariffs), or due to insolvency, or non-performance or default on their contracts. …”see in full comparison
While the Trust does not invest insee in full comparisonandstablecoins,will not hold stablecoins,it may nonetheless be exposed to risks that stablecoins pose for the bitcoin market and other digital asset markets. Stablecoins are digital assets designed to have a stable value over time as compared to typically volatile digitalassets,assets and are typically marketed as being pegged to a fiat currency, such as the U.S. dollar, at a certain value. Although the prices of stablecoins are intended to be stable, their market value may fluctuate. This volatility has in the past apparently impacted the price of bitcoin. Stablecoins are a relatively new phenomenon, and it is impossible to know all of the risks that they could pose to participants in the bitcoin market. Like CBDCs, stablecoins could compete with, or replace, bitcoin and other digital assets as a medium of exchange or store of value. In addition, some have argued that some stablecoins, particularly Tether, are improperly issued without sufficient backing in a way that, when the stablecoin is used to pay for bitcoin, could cause artificial rather than genuine demand for bitcoin, thereby artificially inflating the price ofbitcoin, and also argue that those associated with certain stablecoins may be involved in laundering money.bitcoin. On February 17,20212021, the New York Attorney General entered into an agreement with Tether’s operators,including Bitfinex,requiring them to cease any further trading activity with New York persons and pay $18.5 million in penalties for false and misleading statements made regarding the assets backingTether (the “NYAG Settlement Order”). The NYAG Settlement Order states that Bitfinex and Tether are under common ownership and management. Among other things, the NYAG Settlement Order asserts that Tether’s operators made a series of loans of some of the fiat currency reserves backing Tether stablecoins to Bitfinex, which Bitfinex used in its business, including to bridge liquidity difficulties it faced after Bitfinex lost a substantial amount of customer cash due to the actions of a payment processor it employed. In return, Bitfinex gave Tether a receivable promising to pay the funds back. The NYAG Settlement Order finds, among other things, that representations Tether’s operators made that each Tether stablecoin was backed 1:1 by fiat currency reserves were fraudulent under New York’s Martin Act, because some of the fiat currency reserves were replaced by a receivable issued by an affiliate (Bitfinex) without disclosure to the market.Tether. On October 15, 2021, the CFTC announced a settlement with Tether’soperators, Tether Holdings Limited, Tether Operations Limited, Tether Limited, and Tether International Limited,operators in which they agreed to pay $42.5 million in fines to settle charges that, among others, Tether’s claims that it maintained sufficient U.S. dollar reserves to back every Tether stablecoin in circulation with the “equivalent amount of corresponding fiat currency” held by Tether were untrue.Bitfinex also agreed to pay the CFTC a $1.5 million fine to settle charges that Bitfinex offered off-exchange leveraged, margined, or financed transactions involving cryptocurrencies, including bitcoin, with U.S. customers who were not eligible contract participants and accepted funds (including in the form of Tether stablecoins) and orders in connection with such illegal off-exchange transactions, triggering an obligation to register with the CFTC, which the CFTC order asserts it violated. The CFTC previously fined Bitfinex in 2016 on similar charges.
“Given the foundational role that stablecoins play in global digital asset markets, their fundamental liquidity can have a dramatic impact on the broader digital asset market, including the market for bitcoin. Because a large portion of the digital asset market still depends on stablecoins such as Tether and USDC, there is a risk that a disorderly de-pegging or a run on Tether or USDC could lead to dramatic market volatility in digital assets more broadly. …”see in full comparison
“Disruptions or other problems in the supply chain for bitcoin mining hardware and difficulties in obtaining new hardware could cause harm to the Bitcoin network.”see in full comparison
Full comparison: every changed paragraph (68)
The trading prices of many digital assets,
including including
bitcoin, have experienced extreme volatility in recent periods and may continue to do so. ForThe instance,average annualized one-year
trailing volatility of bitcoin over the past ten years to date remains elevated at 65%. Over the course of 2021, there were steep
increases increases
in the value of certain digital assets, including bitcoin, over the course of 2021, and multiple market observers asserted that
digital assets
were experiencing a “bubble.” These increases were followed by steep drawdowns throughout 2022 in digital
asset trading
prices, including for bitcoin. In the 2021-2022 cycle, the price of bitcoin peaked at $67,734 and bottomed at $15,632, representing
a 77% drawdown. These episodes of rapid price appreciation followed by steep drawdowns have occurred
multiple times throughout
bitcoin’s history, including in 2011, 2013-2014, and 2017-2018, before repeating again in 2021-2022.
Over theDigital course of 2023 and 2024, bitcoinasset prices
have continued to exhibitfluctuate extremein volatility.2025. For example, bitcoin lost approximately 14% of its value according to some sources in mid-October
2025 as part of wider digital asset market turmoil, widely attributed to global trade tensions, which triggered a number of dislocations
in the digital asset market (the “October 2025 Flash Crash”), including liquidations of up to $20 billion in collateral
in the form of various digital assets (including, but not limited to, bitcoin) securing trades (particularly perpetual futures
contracts and various forms of financing transactions), along with reported service interruptions, halted orders, forced unwinding
of trades, and other issues, across centralized and decentralized exchanges.
Extreme volatility may persistpersist, and the
value value
of the Shares may significantly decline in the future without recovery. The digital asset markets may still be experiencing
a bubble
or may experience a bubble again in the future. For example, in the first half of 2022, each of Celsius Network, Voyager
Digital Digital
Ltd., and Three Arrows Capital declared bankruptcy, resulting in a loss of confidence in participants of the digital asset
ecosystem ecosystem
and negative publicity surrounding digital assets more broadly. In November 2022, FTX Trading Ltd. (“FTX”),
one of
the largest digital asset exchangesplatforms by volume at the time, halted customer withdrawals amid rumors of the company’s
liquidity liquidity
issues and likely insolvency, which were subsequently corroborated by its CEO. Shortly thereafter, FTX’s CEO resigned
and and
FTX and many of its affiliates filed for bankruptcy in the United States, while other affiliates have entered insolvency, liquidation,
or similar proceedings around the globe, following which the U.S. Department of Justice brought criminal fraud and other charges,
and the SEC and CFTC brought civil securities and commodities fraud charges, against certain of FTX’s and its affiliates’
senior executives, including its former CEO. In addition, several other entities in the digital asset industry filed for bankruptcy
following FTX’s bankruptcy filing, such as BlockFi Inc. and Genesis Global Capital, LLC (“Genesis”). In response
to these events (collectively, the “2022 Events”), the digital asset markets have experienced extreme price volatility
and other entities in the digital asset industry have been, and may continue to be, negatively affected, further undermining confidence
in the digital asset markets. These events have also negatively impacted the liquidity of the digital asset markets as certain
entities affiliated with FTX engaged in significant trading activity. If the liquidity of the digital asset markets continues to
be negatively impacted by these events, digital asset prices, including bitcoin, may continue to experience significant volatility
or price declines and confidence in the digital asset markets may be further undermined. In addition, regulatory and enforcement
scrutiny has increased, including from, among others, the Department of Justice, the SEC, the CFTC, the White House and Congress,
as well as state regulators and authorities. These events are continuing to develop and the full facts are continuing to emerge.
It is not possible to predict at this time all of the risks that they may pose to the Trust, its service providers or to the digital
asset industry as a whole.
The
prices forof some digital assetsassets, including
bitcoin bitcoin, have risenfluctuated significantly following the 2024 election of Donald Trump as
president of the United States. SomeIndustry participants generally expect the newadministration administration
to adoptcontinue to take a more constructive attitude approach
toward the digital assetsasset industryindustry. thanThrough priorhis administrationsexecutive wereorders, perceivedPresident toTrump havehas done
andindicated that the administration will work
toward providing greater regulatory clarity and certainty for emerging technologies including blockchain technology and
digital assets, thereby fostering their development.development Certainin
the United States. Similarly, the digital asset industry expects favorable legislation from the U.S. Congress, as certain members of Congress
have also expressed similarinterest sentiments.in Toadvancing the
extentdigital asset specific legislation. There can be no assurance that market expectations about around
future activity by the administration or Congress lead digital assets prices and valuations to
increase, there can be no assurance such expectations will be fulfilled, or that digital asset prices will rise or maintain their current
current levels. Some commentators have referred to thisthe digital asset market post-President Trump’s election as a bubble. There can
be no assurance that such a bubble does not currently
exist. The failure of the administration and Congress to provide greaterthe expected level
of regulatory clarity and certaintysupport for blockchain technology
and digital assets, such as through promulgating a regulatory framework governing the issuance and operation of digital assets
that lives up to industry expectations, could lead to a decline in prices for digital assetsasset prices,
including bitcoin,bitcoin. whichSuch a decline could cause
declines a decline in the value of theour Shares and cause our Shareholders to suffer losses.
Moreover, there can be no assurance that political
winds dynamics and sentiments toward the digital asset industry, or market perceptions
of themthose sentiments, will not unfavorably shift over time. Extreme
volatility in the future, including further declines in the trading prices of bitcoin, could have a material adverse effect on
the value of the Shares, and could lose all or substantially all of their value.
On March 6, 2025, President Trump issued an executive order for the “Establishment of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and United States Digital Asset Stockpile” (the “Order”). The Order requires the Secretary of the U.S. Department of Treasury to establish two offices to administer and maintain a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve” (the “Bitcoin Reserve”) and a U.S. Digital Asset Stockpile (the “Digital Asset Stockpile”), respectively. The Bitcoin Reserve will be capitalized with bitcoin forfeited as part of U.S. criminal or civil proceedings or in satisfaction of penalties imposed by executive agencies. The Digital Asset Stockpile will be capitalized initially with other digital assets forfeited as part of criminal or civil asset forfeiture proceedings. This development has led to expectations within the bitcoin market that the United States may begin acquiring and holding bitcoin. The Order directs the Secretaries of the U.S. Treasury Department and the U.S. Department of Commerce to develop budget-neutral strategies for acquiring additional bitcoin for the Bitcoin Reserve. Legislation has been introduced in the U.S. Senate and the U.S. House of Representatives, which would direct the acquisition of one million bitcoin by the federal government over a five-year period, which would be held in trust in secure storage by the U.S. Treasury. The bill proposes to fund the bitcoin acquisition using remittances from the Federal Reserve, revaluations of Federal Reserve gold certificates, and other funding mechanisms. Bills have also been introduced in several state legislatures to authorize the acquisition of bitcoin by state governments or their instrumentalities, some of which have failed to pass. If now or in the future, the U.S. federal government or any state government or any instrumentality thereof does not announce bitcoin acquisition plans or does announce such plans, but these plans fall short of market expectations, the price of bitcoin may decline, which may impact Share value. Even if government acquisitions occur or if legislation requiring acquisitions is enacted, the price of bitcoin may decline if there are implementation challenges, unexpected difficulties, policy or legal reversals, any of which may negatively impact Share value. Further, executive orders, such as the Order, are subject to change and can be reversed or overturned. The enduring existence and size of the Bitcoin Reserve and Digital Asset Stockpile, and the passage and implementation of legislation at the federal or state level, are subject to complex challenges and uncertainty that makes it difficult to evaluate their effect on the value of bitcoin and the Shares, now or in the future. Extreme volatility in the future, including further declines in the trading prices of bitcoin, could have a material adverse effect on the value of the Shares and the Shares could lose all or substantially all of their value. The Trust is not actively managed and will not take any actions to take advantage, or mitigate the impacts, of volatility in the price of bitcoin.
Disruptions or other problems in the supply chain for bitcoin mining hardware and difficulties in obtaining new hardware could cause harm to the Bitcoin network.
Manufacture, assembly and delivery of hardware and components for mining operations can be complex and protracted processes, in the course of which various problems could arise, including disruptions or delays in the supply chain, product quality control issues, as well as other external factors.
Mining operations can ordinarily only be profitable if the costs associated with bitcoin mining, including hardware costs, are lower than the price of bitcoin itself. In the course of the normal operation of bitcoin mining facilities, miners and other critical equipment and materials related to data center construction and maintenance, such as containers, switch gears, transformers and cables, will experience ordinary wear and tear and may also face more significant malfunctions. Declines in the condition of miners and other hardware will require bitcoin miners, over time, to repair or replace those miners.
Additionally, as the technology evolves, miners may be required to acquire newer models of mining hardware and machines to remain competitive in the market. Any upgrading process may require substantial capital investment, and miners may face challenges in doing so on a timely and cost-effective basis. The business of bitcoin miners will be subject to limitations inherent within the supply chain of their mining hardware equipment and components, including competitive, governmental, and legal limitations, and other events. For example, many miners will significantly rely on foreign imports to obtain mining hardware equipment and materials. Any global trade disruption, introductions of tariffs, trade barriers and bilateral trade frictions, together with any potential downturns in the global economy resulting, could adversely affect the necessary supply chains for mining hardware. Depending on the magnitude of such effects on the mining hardware supply chain, shipments of parts for mining hardware, or new mining hardware and equipment, may be delayed.
There are a small number of major suppliers of bitcoin mining hardware globally, and a significant amount of bitcoin mining hardware manufacturing is located in China. Mining hardware manufacturers may fail to supply the mining hardware due to their inability to manufacture sufficient mining hardware, whether due to shortages of components or resources such as semiconductors, or changes of laws and trade restrictions (including export/import restrictions, quotas or tariffs), or due to insolvency, or non-performance or default on their contracts. Trade policies such as export/import restrictions, quotas or tariffs may reduce the ability of bitcoin mining hardware suppliers to supply miners with bitcoin mining hardware or create a shortage or lack of components necessary for their manufacture or repair. If bitcoin miners are unable to source mining hardware from those suppliers (for example due to overwhelming global demand for bitcoin miners, or due to trade restrictions, or other causes) at commercially reasonable prices, or at all, and replacement or substitute sources of bitcoin mining hardware prove to be unavailable, there could be a negative impact on bitcoin mining globally. These could affect the Bitcoin network by making it more difficult for transactions to be confirmed, increase transaction costs, or affect the Bitcoin network’s security, among other negative effects, any of which could negatively affect the value of bitcoin and consequently the Shares.
Further, the first-generation application specific integrated circuit (“ASIC”) chips and other critical components for mining equipment may be subject to price fluctuations or shortages. For example, the ASIC chip is the key component of a mining machine as it determines the efficiency of the device. The production of ASIC chips typically requires highly sophisticated silicon wafers, which currently only a small number of fabrication facilities, or wafer foundries, in the world are capable of producing. There have been previous microchip shortages which led to price fluctuations and disruption in the supply of key bitcoin mining hardware components. ASIC chips have recently been subject to supply and demand fluctuations, significant price increases and shortages. Shortages of ASIC chips could create problems in the supply chain for bitcoin mining equipment, negatively affecting the Bitcoin network by making it more difficult for transactions to be confirmed or increasing transaction costs, or even affecting network security, which again could cause the value of bitcoin and the Shares to decline.
Extreme volatility in the future, including
further declines in the trading prices of bitcoin, could have a material adverse effect on the value of the Shares and the Shares
could lose all or substantially all of their value. The Trust is not actively managed and will not take any actions to take advantage,
or mitigate the impacts, of volatility in the price of bitcoin.
There have been other contentious disputes over changes to the Bitcoin network’s source code, so far these have not led to hard forks. For example, the predominant software implementation used to access the Bitcoin network is Bitcoin Core. The October 2025 release of the updated Bitcoin Core client (version 30) removed a long-standing limit on the inclusion of non-transaction-related data in blocks, the effect of which is to permit larger amounts of arbitrary data to be embedded in transactions. This change has prompted debate within the bitcoin community, though - because the change is backwards-compatible, rather than a hard fork - certain previous versions of the Bitcoin Core client remain operable, and it remains interoperable with other clients, such as Bitcoin Knots. Some participants have expressed concerns that such changes could facilitate the inclusion of illegal or non-transaction-related content on the Bitcoin Blockchain, or introduce new or unknown software vulnerabilities. In response, certain miners and users have reportedly adopted alternative client software implementations to access the Bitcoin network, such as Bitcoin Knots. There is a risk that unresolved divisions could lead to community fragmentation which, if they grew severe enough and were not resolved, eventually a future Bitcoin network hard fork, which may adversely affect the security or stability of the Bitcoin network (such as if miners leave the original Bitcoin network for the forked network), reduce or impede the adoption of bitcoin overall, or cause bitcoin or the Shares to lose value.
For example, in August 2020, the Ethereum
Classic Networknetwork was the target of two double-spend attacks by an unknown actor or actors that gained more than 50% of the processing
power of the Ethereum Classic network. The attacks resulted in reorganizations of the Ethereum Classic blockchain that allowed
the attacker or attackers to reverse previously recorded transactions in excess of $5.0 million$5,000,000 and $1.0 million.$1,000,000. Any similar attacks
attacks on the Bitcoin network could negatively impact the value of bitcoin and the value of the Shares.
In addition, in May 2019, the Bitcoin
Cash Cash
network experienced a 51% attack when two large mining pools reversed a series of transactions in order to stop an unknown
miner miner
from taking advantage of a flaw in a recent Bitcoin Cash protocol upgrade. Although this particular attack was arguably benevolent,
the fact that such coordinated activity was able to occur may negatively impact perceptions of the Bitcoin Cash network. Any similar
attacks on the Bitcoin network could negatively impact the value of bitcoin and the value of the Shares.
Although this particular attack was arguably benevolent, the fact that such coordinated activity was able to occur may negatively impact perceptions of the Bitcoin Cash network. Any similar attacks on the Bitcoin network could negatively impact the value of bitcoin and the value of the Shares.
Bitcoin network mining operations have rapidly evolved over the past several years from individual users mining with computer processors, graphics processing units and first-generation ASIC (application-specific integrated circuit) machines. New processing power is predominantly added to the Bitcoin network currently by “professionalized” mining operations. Such operations may use proprietary hardware or sophisticated ASIC machines acquired from ASIC manufacturers. Significant capital is necessary for mining operations to acquire this hardware, lease operating space (often in data centers or warehousing facilities), afford electricity costs and employ technicians to operate the mining farms. As a result, professionalized mining operations are of a greater scale than prior Bitcoin network validators and have more defined, regular expenses and liabilities. In addition, mining operations may choose to immediately sell bitcoin earned from their operations into the global bitcoin market. In past years, individual miners are believed to have been more likely to hold newly mined bitcoin for more extended periods. The immediate selling of newly mined bitcoin would increase the supply of bitcoin on the bitcoin market, creating downward pressure on the price of bitcoin. A professional mining operation operating at a low profit margin may be more likely to sell a higher percentage of its newly mined bitcoin rapidly, and it may partially or completely cease operations if its profit margin is negative. In a low profit margin environment, a higher percentage of the new bitcoin mined each day will be sold into the bitcoin market more rapidly, thereby reducing bitcoin prices. The network effect of reduced profit margins resulting in greater sales of newly mined bitcoin could result in a reduction in the price of bitcoin that could adversely affect an investment in the Trust.
A professional mining operation operating
at a low profit margin may be more likely to sell a higher percentage of its newly mined bitcoin rapidly, and it may partially
or completely cease operations if its profit margin is negative. In a low profit margin environment, a higher percentage of the
new bitcoin mined each day will be sold into the bitcoin market more rapidly, thereby reducing bitcoin prices. The network effect
of reduced profit margins resulting in greater sales of newly mined bitcoin could result in a reduction in the price of bitcoin
that could adversely affect an investment in the Trust.
The size of each block on the Bitcoin
Blockchain Blockchain
is currently limited,limited and is significantly below the level that centralized systems can provide. Increased transaction
volume volume
could result in delays in the recording of transactions due to congestion in the Bitcoin network. Moreover, unforeseen system
failures, disruptions in operations, or poor connectivity may also result in delays in the recording of transactions on the Bitcoin
network. Any delay in the Bitcoin network could affect the Trust’s ability to buy or sell bitcoin at an advantageous price,price
or may create the opportunity for a bad actor to double spend bitcoin, resulting in decreased confidence in the Bitcoin network.
Over the longer term, delays in confirming transactions could reduce the attractiveness to merchants and other commercial parties
as a means of payment. As a result, the Bitcoin network and the value of the Trust would be adversely affected.
Many digital asset trading platforms
are are
unlicensed, may be unregulated, may be subject to regulation in a relevant jurisdiction, but may or may not be complying,in compliance
therewith, may operate without
extensive supervision by governmental authorities, and do not provide the public with significant
information regarding their
ownership structure, management team, corporate practices, cybersecurity, and regulatory compliance.
In particular, those located outside the United
States may be subject to significantly less stringent regulatory and compliance
requirements in their local jurisdictions, and
may take the position that they are not subject to laws and regulations that would
apply to a national securities exchange or
designated contract market in the United States, or may, as a practical matter, be beyond
the ambit of U.S. regulators. As a result,
trading activity on or reported by these digital asset trading platforms is generally
significantly less regulated than trading
in regulated U.S. securities and commodities markets, and may reflect behavior that would
be prohibited in regulated U.S. trading
venues.
The bitcoin market globally and in the
United States is not subject to comparable regulatory guardrails as exist in regulated securities markets. Furthermore, many bitcoin
trading venues lack certain safeguards put in place by exchanges for more traditional assets to enhance the stability of trading
on the exchanges and prevent “flash crashes,” such as limit-down circuit breakers.breakers, as demonstrated by the October 2025
Flash Crash. As a result, the prices of bitcoin
on trading venues may be subject to larger and/or more frequent sudden declines
than assets traded on more traditional exchanges.
Tools to detect and deter fraudulent or manipulative trading activities such
as market manipulation, front-running of trades,
and wash-trading may not be available to or employed by digital asset trading
platforms, or may not exist at all.
The SEC has identified possible sources
of fraud and manipulation in the bitcoin market generally, including, among others (1) “wash trading”; (2) persons
persons with a dominant position in bitcoin manipulating bitcoin pricing; (3) hacking of the Bitcoin network and trading platforms;
(4)
malicious control of the Bitcoin network; (5) trading based on material, non-public information (for example, plans of market participants
participants to significantly increase or decrease their holdings in bitcoin, new sources of demand for bitcoin, or other events which could
affect the price of bitcoin) or based on the
dissemination of false and misleading information; (6) manipulative activity involving
purported “stablecoins,” including
Tether (for more information, “—Prices-Prices of bitcoin may be affected due to stablecoins
(including Tether and US Dollar
Coin (“USDC”)), the activities of stablecoin issuers and their regulatory treatment”);
and (7) fraud and manipulation
at bitcoin trading platforms. The effect of potential market manipulation, front-running, wash-trading,
and other fraudulent or
manipulative trading practices may inflate the volumes actually present in cryptodigital marketasset markets and/or
cause distortions in price, which
could adversely affect the Trust or cause losses to Shareholders.
Over
the past several years, some digital
asset trading platforms have been closed due to fraud and manipulative activity, business
failure or security breaches. In many
of these instances, the customers of such digital asset trading platforms were not compensated
or made whole for the partial or
complete losses of their account balances in such digital asset trading platforms. While, generally
speaking, smaller digital
asset trading platforms are less likely to have the infrastructure and capitalization that make larger
digital asset trading platforms
more stable, larger digital asset trading platforms are more likely to be appealing targets for
hackers and malware and may be
more likely to be targets of regulatory enforcement action. For example, the collapse of Mt. Gox,
which filed for bankruptcy protection
in Japan in late February 2014, demonstrated that even the largest digital asset trading
platforms could be subject to abrupt
failure with consequences for both users of digital asset exchangesplatforms and the digital asset
industry as a whole. In particular,
in the two weeks that followed the February 7, 2014 halt of bitcoin withdrawals from Mt. Gox,
the value of one bitcoin fell on
other trading platforms from around $795 on February 6, 2014 to $578 on February 20, 2014. Additionally,
in January 2015, Bitstamp
announced that approximately 19,000 bitcoin had been stolen from its operational or “hot”
wallets. Further, in August
2016, it was reported that almost 120,000 bitcoins worth around $78 million$78,000,000 were stolen from Bitfinex.
The value of bitcoin and
other digital assets immediately decreased over 10% following reports of the theft at Bitfinex. In July
2017, FinCEN assessed
a $110 million$110,000,000 fine against BTC-E, a now defunct digital asset trading platform, for facilitating crimes
such as drug sales and
ransomware attacks. In addition, in December 2017, Yapian, the operator of Seoul-based cryptocurrency trading
platform Youbit,
suspended digital asset trading and filed for bankruptcy following a hack that resulted in a loss of 17% of Yapian’s
assets. assets.
Following the hack, Youbit users were allowed to withdraw approximately 75% of the digital assets in their platform accounts,
with any potential further distributions to be made following Yapian’s pending bankruptcy proceedings. In addition, in January
2018, the Japanese digital asset trading platform, Coincheck, was hacked, resulting in losses of approximately $535 million,$535,000,000, and
in February 2018, the Italian digital asset trading platform, Bitgrail, was hacked, resulting in approximately $170
million$170,000,000 in
losses. In May 2019, one of the world’s largest digital asset trading platform, Binance, was hacked, resulting
in losses
of approximately $40 million.$40,000,000. In November 2022, FTX, one of the largest digital asset trading platform by volume at
the time, halted
customer withdrawals and filed for bankruptcy, which revealed a shortfall of customer funds. Shortly thereafter,
FTX’s CEO
resigned and FTX and many of its affiliates filed for bankruptcy in the United States, while other affiliates
have entered insolvency,
liquidation, or similar proceedings around the globe, following which the U.S. Department of Justice
brought criminal fraud and
other charges, and the SEC and CFTC brought civil securities and commodities fraud charges, against
certain of FTX’s and
its affiliates’ senior executives, including its former CEO. Around the same time, there were
reports that approximately
$300-600 million of digital assets were removed from FTX and the full facts remain unknown, including
whether such removal was
the result of a hack, theft, insider activity, or other improper behavior. On
February 21, 2025, Bybit, a centralized platform for exchanging digital assets, announced that more than $1.4 billion in ether
had been stolen from its platform. Hackers were able to manipulate Bybit’s transfer process to authorize and complete the
illicit transaction. The incident has resulted in renewed concerns over the security of digital asset platforms.
In 2019 there were reports claiming that
80.95% of bitcoin trading volume on digital asset trading platforms was false or noneconomic in nature, with specific focus on
unregulated exchanges located outside of the United States. Such reports alleged that certain overseas trading platforms have displayed
displayed suspicious trading activity suggestive of a variety of manipulative or fraudulent practices, such as fake or artificial trading
trading volume or trading volume based on non-economic “wash trading”. (where offsetting trades are entered into for other than
bona fide reasons, such as the desire to inflate reported trading volumes), and attributed such manipulative or fraudulent behavior
to motives like the incentive to attract listing fees from token issuers who seek the most liquid and high-volume platforms on
which to list their coins.
While the Trust does not invest in andstablecoins,
will not hold stablecoins, it may nonetheless be exposed to risks that stablecoins pose for the bitcoin market and other digital
asset markets. Stablecoins
are digital assets designed to have a stable value over time as compared to typically volatile digital
assets, assets and are typically
marketed as being pegged to a fiat currency, such as the U.S. dollar, at a certain value. Although the
prices of stablecoins are
intended to be stable, their market value may fluctuate. This volatility has in the past apparently
impacted the price of bitcoin.
Stablecoins are a relatively new phenomenon, and it is impossible to know all of the risks that
they could pose to participants
in the bitcoin market. Like CBDCs, stablecoins could compete with, or replace, bitcoin and other digital assets as a medium of
exchange or store of value. In addition, some have argued that some stablecoins, particularly Tether,
are improperly issued without
sufficient backing in a way that, when the stablecoin is used to pay for bitcoin, could cause artificial
rather than genuine demand
for bitcoin, thereby artificially inflating the price of bitcoin, and also argue that those associated with
certain stablecoins may be involved in laundering money.bitcoin. On February 17, 20212021, the New York Attorney General entered into
an agreement
with Tether’s operators, including Bitfinex, requiring them to cease any further trading activity with New York persons
and pay
$18.5 million in penalties for false and misleading statements made regarding the assets backing Tether (the “NYAG
Settlement Order”). The NYAG Settlement Order states that Bitfinex and Tether are under common ownership and management.
Among other things, the NYAG Settlement Order asserts that Tether’s operators made a series of loans of some of the fiat
currency reserves backing Tether stablecoins to Bitfinex, which Bitfinex used in its business, including to bridge liquidity difficulties
it faced after Bitfinex lost a substantial amount of customer cash due to the actions of a payment processor it employed. In return,
Bitfinex gave Tether a receivable promising to pay the funds back. The NYAG Settlement Order finds, among other things, that representations
Tether’s operators made that each Tether stablecoin was backed 1:1 by fiat currency reserves were fraudulent under New York’s
Martin Act, because some of the fiat currency reserves were replaced by a receivable issued by an affiliate (Bitfinex) without
disclosure to the market.Tether. On October 15, 2021, the
CFTC announced a settlement with Tether’s operators, Tether Holdings
Limited, Tether Operations Limited, Tether Limited, and Tether International Limited,operators in which they agreed
to pay $42.5 million in fines to settle charges
that, among others, Tether’s claims that it maintained sufficient U.S. dollar
reserves to back every Tether stablecoin in
circulation with the “equivalent amount of corresponding fiat currency”
held by Tether were untrue. Bitfinex also agreed to pay the CFTC a $1.5 million fine to settle charges that Bitfinex offered off-exchange
leveraged, margined, or financed transactions involving cryptocurrencies, including bitcoin, with U.S. customers who were not
eligible contract participants and accepted funds (including in the form of Tether stablecoins) and orders in connection with
such illegal off-exchange transactions, triggering an obligation to register with the CFTC, which the CFTC order asserts it violated.
The CFTC previously fined Bitfinex in 2016 on similar charges.
USDC is a reserve-backed stablecoin issued
by Circle Internet Financial that is commonly used as a method of payment in digital asset markets, including the bitcoin market.
While USDC is designed to maintain a stable value at 1one U.S. dollar at all times, on March 10, 2023, the value of USDC fell below
$1.00 for multiple days after Circle Internet Financial disclosed that US$3.3$3.3 billion of the USDC reserves were held at Silicon Valley
Valley Bank, which had entered Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (“FDIC”) receivership earlier that day. Stablecoins
are reliant on the U.S. banking system and U.S. treasuries,
and the failure of either to function normally could impede the function
of stablecoins, and therefore could adversely affect the
value of the Shares.
Given the foundational role that stablecoins play in global digital asset markets, their liquidity can have a dramatic impact on the broader digital asset market, including the market for bitcoin. A significant portion of the digital asset market continues to depend on stablecoins such as Tether and USDC. As such, any disruption in the operation or perceived stability of these stablecoins such as a disorderly de-pegging event or a loss of market confidence resulting in a run on reserves could lead to substantial market volatility across digital assets more broadly.
Additional risks such as operational failures (e.g., technical issues that prevent settlement), concerns regarding the adequacy or transparency of reserve assets backing stablecoins, the use of unbacked or undercollateralized stablecoins in potentially manipulative trading practices and regulatory scrutiny of stablecoin issuers or intermediaries, including exchanges that facilitate stablecoin transactions, may also adversely affect market confidence and liquidity. Further, these risks are underscored by recent legislative developments. On July 18, 2025, the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins Act of 2025 (“GENIUS Act”) was enacted, establishing a federal regulatory framework for payment stablecoins. The GENIUS Act prohibits the issuance or use of payment stablecoins unless the issuer obtains a qualifying license and complies with a range of regulatory requirements, including reserve backing with liquid assets, redemption rights, governance standards, and operational transparency. The GENIUS Act also restricts the payment of interest on stablecoins and imposes oversight on both bank and nonbank issuers. The enactment of the GENIUS Act, or the removal or migration of prominent stablecoins from the Bitcoin network, could reduce the willingness of market participants to engage in digital asset transactions that rely on stablecoins, diminish liquidity in the bitcoin market, and adversely affect the price of bitcoin. Any such developments could, in turn, materially and adversely impact the value of the Shares.
Digital Asset Treasury Companies Risk
In recent times, a number of companies engaged in businesses outside the digital assets industry have begun to hold their corporate treasuries in digital assets instead of in fiat currency (“digital asset treasury companies”). In some cases, these companies have raised funds through financing or securities offerings and applied the proceeds to purchase digital assets, including bitcoin.
Digital asset treasury companies are a relatively new phenomenon and it is impossible to predict all of the risks they could pose to the Trust. On the one hand, digital asset treasury companies may increase procyclical dynamics in the market because they may purchase digital assets, such as bitcoin, when prices are rising and they may sell such assets when prices are decreasing, potentially making bitcoin more expensive in a rising market and then causing downward pressure on bitcoin prices in a falling market (causing prices to fall faster than they otherwise would). Digital asset treasury companies could cause greater volatility in digital asset markets, including markets for bitcoin. Negative events or sentiment surrounding digital asset treasury companies could affect the market for bitcoin. On the other hand, digital asset treasury companies may compete with the Trust in the marketplace as a perceived alternative means of achieving exposure to the price of bitcoin (to a greater or lesser extent) through investing in securities. The foregoing or similar events involving digital asset treasury companies could adversely affect holders of Shares in the Trust.
Given the foundational role that stablecoins
play in global digital asset markets, their fundamental liquidity can have a dramatic impact on the broader digital asset market,
including the market for bitcoin. Because a large portion of the digital asset market still depends on stablecoins such as Tether
and USDC, there is a risk that a disorderly de-pegging or a run on Tether or USDC could lead to dramatic market volatility in
digital assets more broadly. Volatility in stablecoins, operational issues with stablecoins (for example, technical issues that
prevent settlement), concerns about the sufficiency of any reserves that support stablecoins or potential manipulative activity
when unbacked stablecoins are used to pay for other digital assets (including bitcoin), or regulatory concerns about stablecoin
issuers or intermediaries, such as exchanges, that support stablecoins, could impact individuals’ willingness to trade on
trading venues that rely on stablecoins, reduce liquidity in the bitcoin market, and affect the value of bitcoin, and in turn
impact an investment in the Shares. Given Bitfinex is currently a component of the MarketVectorTM Bitcoin Benchmark
Rate and Bitfinex and Tether are understood to be under common ownership and management, problems with Tether specifically could
potentially affect pricing of transactions on Bitfinex or otherwise disrupt Bitfinex’s operations.
The processes of creation and redemption
of Shares (which depend on timely transfers of bitcoin to and by the Bitcoin Custodian and through the Clearing Services) could
be disrupted or encounter challenges due to, for example, the price volatility of bitcoin, the insolvency, business failure or
interruption, default, failure to perform, security breach, or other problems affecting the Bitcoin Custodian, in its capacity
as Bitcoin Custodian under the Custody Agreement and the provider
of Clearing Services under the Clearing Agreement. Also, the change from the Trust’s originally contemplated model of in-kindAuthorized
creations and redemptions to the current model involving cash creations and redemptions, could cause potential market participants,
such as the Authorized Participants and Liquidity Providers, who would otherwise be willing to purchase or redeem Creation Baskets or bitcoin,
as applicable,
to take advantage of any arbitrage opportunity arising from discrepancies between the price of the Shares and the
price of the
underlying bitcoin, tomay decide not to take the risk that, as a result of those difficulties, they may not be able
to realize the
profit they expect, and reduce their transactions with or even refrain entirely from transacting with the Trust,
which could disrupt
the processes of creation and redemption of Shares. If such events rise to the level of an emergency or cause
creations and redemptions
of Shares to be impracticable, the Sponsor may suspend the process of creation and redemption of Creation Baskets.
Any disruptions
to the process of creating and redeeming Shares could cause trading spreads, and the resulting premium or discount,
on Shares compared
to NAV to widen. Alternatively, in the case of a Bitcoin network outage or other problems affecting the Bitcoin
network, the processing
of transactions on the Bitcoin network may be disrupted, which in turn may prevent Liquidity ProvidersProviders, or Authorized Participants
or their designees, from depositing or withdrawing bitcoin from their accounts at the Bitcoin Custodian, which in turn could affect
the creation or
redemption of Creation Baskets. If this is the case, the liquidity of the Shares may decline and the price of the
Shares may fluctuate
independently of the price of bitcoin and may fall or otherwise diverge from NAV. Furthermore, in the event
that the market for
bitcoin should become relatively illiquid and thereby materially restrict opportunities for arbitraging, the
price of the Shares may
diverge from the value of bitcoin.
InCreation addition,Baskets may be created or redeemed
in exchange for bitcoin or cash. At present, only certain Authorized Participants have the ability to support in-kind creation
and redemption activity. The use of cash creations and redemptions,
as opposed to in-kind creations and redemptions, creates transaction
costs of buying and selling bitcoin that are not present
in an in-kind model. These costs include the bid-ask spread along with
the operational costs from the labor and overhead involved
in calculating, executing, monitoring, and accounting for transactions
in the bitcoin markets and related cash movements. Furthermore,
there are timing costs involved in the risk that the bitcoin price
moves between the time when the NAV is established for a creation/redemption
and the time when the bitcoin is traded (“slippage”). In addition, Liquidity Providers must settle bitcoin transactions
with the Trust within a contractually specified time period, subject to customary exceptions. If the Liquidity Provider fails
to perform its obligations within the contractually specified time period, the Trust would seek to use an alternate Liquidity
Provider to execute the bitcoin transaction. However, the pricing or terms of the ultimate bitcoin transaction conducted through
the alternate Liquidity Provider, if one is available, after the failure of the original Liquidity Provider to perform its obligations
could deviate, potentially significantly, from the pricing or terms of the transaction that the Trust originally entered with
the original Liquidity Provider. Transaction costs and slippage would be reduced if the Trust were permittedable to use an in-kind
creation and redemption model. The Trust’s
Authorized Participant Agreement provides that transaction costs and slippage
related to Creation Basket creation and redemption
are the responsibility of the Authorized Participant. Whether Authorized Participants who are unable to support in-kind creation
and redemption activity and Liquidity Providers as market participants will find it economically viable or commercially attractive
to participate in a
cash creation and redemption model for a bitcoin exchange-traded product like the Trust, including a cash creation
and redemption
model where the Trust selects the Liquidity Provider with whom it executes transactions to buy or sell bitcoin and
the Authorized
Participant is not permitted to designate the Liquidity Provider from whom bitcoin is purchased or sold in connection
with the
Authorized Participant’s Creation Basket subscription or redemption, is not known; however, there is a risk they
will not. If the
Trust is unable to attract sufficient Authorized Participants and Liquidity Providers, it will be unable to maintain
an efficient
arbitrage mechanism for keeping the trading price of the Shares in line with NAV and the value of the underlying bitcoin
held held
by the Trust, which could negatively affect Shareholders and cause them to purchase or sell Shares at a premium or discount
to to
the value of the underlying bitcoin, causing losses; alternatively, it could be unable to operate, as there would be no parties
who who
would be able to create new Shares or redeem existing Shares, leading to the Trust being unsuccessful commercially and the
Sponsor Sponsor
deciding to terminate and wind up the Trust’s operations. There can be no assurance that In-Kind Regulatory Approval will
ever be obtained or that in-kind subscription or redemption transactions will ever occur, meaning that the Trust may conduct subscriptions
and redemptions solely in cash for the foreseeable future and indefinitely if necessary. In addition,
a failure to settle bitcoin transactions with Liquidity Providers could disrupt the calculation of the Trust’s NAV or potentially
cause inaccuracies in NAV calculation, which could disrupt the Trust’s operations or cause Shareholders to suffer losses.operations..
The Trust is currently only able to conduct subscriptions
and redemptions in cash, which means that an Authorized Participant will deposit cash into, or accept cash from, the Trust’s
account with the Cash Custodian in connection with the creation and redemption of Baskets, and will obtain or receive bitcoin
in exchange for cash in connection with such order. However, and in common with other spot bitcoin exchange-traded products, the
Trust is not at this time able to create and redeem Shares via in-kind transactions with Authorized Participants in exchange for
bitcoin.
Authorized Participants must be registered
broker-dealers. broker-dealers.
Registered broker-dealers are subject to various requirements of the federal securities laws and rules, including
financial responsibility
rules such as the customer protection rule, the net capital rule and recordkeeping requirements. ThereOn May
15, 2025, the SEC’s Division of Trading and Markets and FINRA’s Office of General Counsel stated that broker-dealers
are permitted to facilitate in-kind creations and redemptions in connection with spot crypto exchange-traded products; however,
there has yet to be definitive
regulatory guidance on whetherthe andspecific details of how registered broker-dealers can comply with these
rules with regard to transacting in or
holding spot bitcoin. Until further regulatory clarity emerges regarding whether registered
broker-dealers can hold and deal in
bitcoin under such rules, there is a risk that registered broker-dealers participating in the
in-kind creation or redemption of
Shares for bitcoin may be unable to demonstrate compliance with such requirements. While compliance
with theserules such as the customer protection rule, the net capital rule and recordkeeping requirements would
be the broker-dealer’s
responsibility, a national securities exchange is required to enforce compliance by its member broker-dealers
with applicable federal
securities law and rules. AsOnly acertain result,Authorized Participants, at present, have the SEC is unlikelyability to permitalso, anthrough exchangetheir toaffiliates,
support adoptin-kind listing rules
for a product if it is not clear that the exchange’s members would be able to comply with applicable rules when transacting
in the product as designed. To the extent further regulatory clarity emerges, the Sponsor expects the Exchange to seek In-Kind
Regulatory Approval to amend its listing rules to permit the Trust to createcreation and redeemredemption Shares in-kind for bitcoin, in which Authorized
Participants or their designees would deposit bitcoin directly with the Trust or receive bitcoin directly from the Trust. However,
there can be no assurance as to when such regulatory clarity will emerge, or when the Exchange will seek or obtain In-Kind Regulatory
Approval, if at all.activity.
To the knowledge of the Sponsor, exchange-traded products
for all spot-market commodities other than bitcoin, such as gold and silver, employ in-kind creations and redemptions with the
underlying asset. The Sponsor believes that it is generally more efficient, and therefore less costly, for spot commodity exchange-traded
products to utilize in-kind orders rather than cash orders, because there are fewer steps in the process and therefore there is
less operational risk involved when an authorized participant can manage the buying and selling of the underlying asset itself,
rather than depend on an unaffiliated party such as the issuer or sponsor of the exchange-traded product. As such, a spot commodity
exchange-traded product that only employs cash creations and redemptions and does not permit in-kind creations and redemptions
is a novel product that has not been tested, and could be impacted by any resulting operational inefficiencies.
InEven particular,with the SEC staff’s recent
statement that in-kind creations and redemptions are not prohibited by SEC regulations, the Trust’s inabilitylimited ability to facilitate
in-kind creations and redemptions could result in the exchange-traded product arbitrage mechanism failing to function as efficiently
as it otherwise would, leading to the potential for the Shares to trade at premiums or discounts to the NAV per Share, and such
premiums or discounts could be substantial. Furthermore, if cash orderscreations or redemptions are unavailable, either due to the Sponsor’s
decision decision
to reject or suspend such ordersorders, the unavailability of Liquidity Providers or otherwise, it will not be possible for Authorized Participants will
be limited in their ability to redeem or create Shares,
in which case the arbitrage mechanism wouldmay benot unavailable.function as efficiently.
This could result in impaired liquidity for the Shares, wider bid/ask
spreads in secondary trading of the Shares and greater costs
to investors and other market participants. In addition, the Trust’s
inability limited ability to facilitate in-kind creations and
redemptions, and resulting relative reliance on cash creations and redemptions, could cause
the Sponsor to halt or suspend the
creation ofor redemption of Shares during times of market volatility or turmoil, among other
consequences.
EvenFurther, if In-Kind Regulatory Approval were obtained,
there can be no assurance that
broker-dealers in-kind creations or redemptions of the Shares will be available in the future, or that broker-dealers
would be willing to serve as Authorized Participants with respect to the in-kind creation and redemption of Shares.
Any of these
factors could adversely affect the performance of the Trust and the value of the Shares.
The Trust is not obligated to pay periodic distributions or dividends to Shareholders.
Premiums or other income received with respect to the Trust’s assets may be used to acquire additional securities or, in the sole discretion of the Sponsor, distributed to the Shareholders. The Trust is not obligated, however, to make any distributions to Shareholders at any time prior to the dissolution of the Trust and will not make any distributions to Shareholders upon dissolution of the Trust unless there are assets remaining following dissolution.
Unlike other funds that may invest in diversified
assets, assets,
the Trust’s investment strategy is concentrated in a single asset class: bitcoin. This concentration maximizes the
degree degree
of the Trust’s exposure to a variety of market risks associated with bitcoin. By concentrating its investment strategy
solely solely
in bitcoin, any losses suffered as a result of a decrease in the value of bitcoin can be expected to reduce the value of
an interest
in the Trust and will not be offset by other gains if the Trust were to invest in underlying assetsasset s that were diversified.
On March 22, 2023, Coinbase, Inc., which
is an affiliate
of the Additional Bitcoin Custodian, and its parent (such parent, “Coinbase Global” and together with
Coinbase Inc.,
the “Relevant Coinbase Entities”) received a “Wells Notice” from the SEC staff stating that
the SEC staff
made a “preliminary determination” to recommend that the SEC file an enforcement action against the Relevant
Coinbase Coinbase
Entities alleging violations of the federal securities laws, including the Exchange Act and the Securities Act. According
to Coinbase
Global’s public reporting company disclosure, based on discussions with the SEC staff, the Relevant Coinbase
Entities believe
these potential enforcement actions would relate to aspects of the Relevant Coinbase Entities’ Coinbase
Prime service, spot
market, staking service Coinbase Earn, and Coinbase Wallet, and the potential civil action may seek injunctive
relief, disgorgement,
and civil penalties. On June 6, 2023, the SEC filed a complaint against the Relevant Coinbase Entities in
federal district court
in the Southern District of New York, alleging, inter alia: (i) that Coinbase Inc. has violated the Exchange
Act by failing to
register with the SEC as a national securities exchange, broker-dealer, and clearing agency, in connection with
activities involving
certain identified digital assets that the SEC’s complaint alleges are securities, (ii) that Coinbase
Inc. has violated
the Securities Act by failing to register with the SEC the offer and sale of its staking program, and (iii) that
Coinbase Global
is jointly and severally liable as a control person under the Exchange Act for Coinbase Inc.’s violations
of the Exchange
Act to the same extent as Coinbase Inc. The SEC’s complaint seeks a permanent injunction against the Relevant
Coinbase Entities
to prevent them from violations of the Exchange Act or Securities Act, disgorgement, civil monetary penalties,
and such other
relief as the court deems appropriate or necessary. WhileOn February 27, 2025, the SEC and the Relevant Coinbase Entities
filed a joint stipulation to dismiss the case with prejudice, and the case has been dismissed. Notwithstanding the dismissal of
the SEC enforcement action, Coinbase Inc. is currently, and it and the Additional Bitcoin Custodian isfrom time to time may be, subject
in the future, to a variety of other litigation. Although the Trust does not namedpresently anticipate such an outcome, there can be
no assurance that in the complaint, iffuture Coinbase
Global, Inc. or Coinbase Custody, as the parent of the Additional Bitcoin Custodian, iswill not be required, as a result of a
judicial determination, or couldwill not choose,
to restrict or curtail the services itsthey subsidiariesoffer, or their financial condition and ability
to provide services to the Trust, orwill itsnot financial condition isbe negatively affected,
it could negatively affect the Trust’s ability to operate.affected.
If an Authorized Participant or a Liquidity
Provider Provider
suffers insolvency, business failure or interruption, default, failure to perform, security breach, or if an Authorized
Participant Participant
or a Liquidity Provider chooses not to participate in the creation and redemption processes of the Trust due to the
risks described
in “—The-The inability of Liquidity Providers to hedge their bitcoin exposure may adversely affect the liquidity
of Shares
and the value of an investment in the Shares” and “—If-If the process of creation and redemption of baskets
encounters encounters
any unanticipated difficulties, the possibility for arbitrage transactions by Authorized Participants intended to keep
the price
of the Shares closely linked to the price of Bitcoin may not exist and, as a result, the price of the Shares may fall
or otherwise
diverge from NAV,” and the Trust is unable to engage replacement Authorized Participants or Liquidity Providers
on commercially
acceptable terms or at all, then the creation and redemption processes of the Trust or the arbitrage mechanism
used to keep the
Trust’s Shares trading in line with NAV could be negatively affected.
Subject
to the Force Majeure provision and as limited
by the limitations of liability in the Custody Agreement, the Bitcoin Custodian shall
be liable to the Trust for the Loss (defined
below) of any of the Trust’s bitcoin or fiat currency to the extent that such
Loss was caused by the negligence, fraud,
willful wilful or reckless misconduct of the Bitcoin Custodian or breach by the Bitcoin Custodian
of its Standard of Care. The Custody
Agreement provides that “Loss” means if, at any time the Trust’s Bitcoin
Account or Fiat Account, as applicable,
does not hold the bitcoin or fiat currency that had been (1) received by Bitcoin Custodian
in connection with the Trust’s
Bitcoin Account or Fiat Account pursuant to the Custody Agreement, or (2) duly sent to the
Bitcoin Custodian by the Trust or Authorized
Participants in connection with the Trust’s Bitcoin Account pursuant to the
Custody Agreement but not received because of
a failure caused by the Bitcoin Custodian. The Custody Agreement provides that “Loss”
shall include situations where
the Bitcoin Custodian fails to execute a valid withdrawal request, bitcoin are withdrawn from the
Trust’s Bitcoin Account
other than pursuant
to a withdrawal request, or the Trust is not
able to timely withdraw bitcoin from the Bitcoin Account pursuant to a withdrawal
request, in each case due to a failure caused
by the Bitcoin Custodian; provided, however, that the Bitcoin Custodian’s failure
to permit timely withdrawals because it
has determined that it cannot do so due to the requirements of applicable laws and regulations
or because of the operation of
its fraud detection controls shall not be considered a Loss, provided the Bitcoin Custodian is acting
reasonably and in good faith.
The Custody Agreement provides that should a Loss of the Trust’s bitcoin or fiat currency due
to the negligence, fraud,
willful wilful or reckless misconduct of the Bitcoin Custodian or a breach by the Bitcoin Custodian of its Standard
of Care occur, the
Bitcoin Custodian will, as soon as practicable, return to the Trust a quantity of the same digital asset that
is equal to the
quantity of digital assets involved in the Loss, or return to the Trust a quantity of the same fiat currency that
is equal to
the quantity of fiat currency involved in the Loss (if the Loss involved the Fiat Account). However, the Trust does
not control
the Bitcoin Custodian and cannot guarantee that the Bitcoin Custodian will perform its obligations to the Trust under
the Custody
Agreement, in a timely manner or at all. The Custody Agreement provides that (i) the Bitcoin Custodian does not own
or control
the underlying software protocols of networks which govern the operation of digital assets (including the Bitcoin Blockchain),
(ii) the Bitcoin Custodian makes no guarantees regarding their security, functionality, or availability, and (iii) in no event
shall the Bitcoin Custodian be liable for or in connection with any acts, decisions, or omissions made by developers or promoters
of digital assets, including bitcoin.
Similarly, under the Clearing Agreement,
the Bitcoin
Custodian’s liability in connection with the Clearing Services is limited as follows, among others: the Bitcoin
Custodian Custodian
does not have any responsibility for any sale or purchase of bitcoin for cash to a Liquidity Provider through the Clearing
Services Services
(such a transaction, a “Clearing Transaction”), other than as specifically identified in the Clearing Agreement.
The The
Bitcoin Custodian may rely upon, without liability on its part, any clearing request submitted through Gemini’s platform.
Absent gross negligence, willfulwilful misconduct or fraud, the Bitcoin Custodian shall not be liable for any loss resulting from a clearing
clearing request or the use of Clearing Services. Validation and confirmation procedures used by Gemini are designed only to verify the
the source of clearing requests and that each party has met its respective obligations in respect of a clearing request and not to
to detect errors in the content of a clearing request or to prevent duplicate clearing requests. The Trust is responsible for losses
losses resulting from clearing requests provided by it and for any errors made by or on behalf of the Trust, any errors resulting, directly
directly or indirectly, from fraud or the duplication of any clearing request by or on behalf of the Trust, or any losses resulting from
from the malfunctioning of any devices used by the Trust or loss or compromise of credentials used by the Trust to deliver clearing
requests. The Bitcoin Custodian may reject, refuse to settle or otherwise not complete any request to settle a bitcoin transaction
through the Clearing Services for any reason necessary to comply with applicable laws and regulations or in connection with its
fraud or other compliance controls and systems, and the Bitcoin Custodian shall have no liability whatsoever to the Trust, any
transaction counterparty or any other party in connection with or arising out of the Bitcoin Custodian rejecting, refusing or otherwise
otherwise not completing the settlement of a transaction through the Clearing Services. The Bitcoin Custodian will not settle transactions
transactions through the Clearing Services: (i) if either party to a Clearing Transaction has not fully funded its accounts held
with the Bitcoin
Custodian and used in connection with the Clearing Services (in the Trust’s case, the Clearing Account
and Fiat Account),
as applicable, with the required fiat currency amount or bitcoin amount, as applicable, prior to the agreed
expiration time; (ii)
if either party to a Clearing Transaction has not confirmed its acceptance of the clearing request to the
Bitcoin Custodian prior
to the agreed expiration time; (iii) if either party to a transaction is not a Gemini customer; or (iv)
for any other reason as
determined by the Bitcoin Custodian in its sole discretion to comply with applicable laws and regulation
or in connection with
the Bitcoin Custodian’s fraud or other compliance controls and systems. Although the Bitcoin Custodian
has represented to
the Sponsor that Clearing Transactions ordinarily settle automatically within minutes once the bitcoin and
cash have been funded
by both the Trust and the Liquidity Provider in their respective accounts at the Bitcoin Custodian used
in connection with the
Clearing Services (in the Trust’s case, the Clearing Account and Fiat Account), the Bitcoin Custodian
is not required by
the Clearing Agreement to settle the Clearing Transaction that quickly. These and the other limitations on
the Bitcoin Custodian’s
liability may allow it to avoid liability for potential losses, even if the Bitcoin Custodian directly
caused such losses.
The
Clearing Agreement provides that it is subject
to Gemini’s user agreement (the “User Agreement”). Pursuant to
the User Agreement, Gemini agrees to take reasonable
care and use commercially reasonable
efforts in executing Gemini’s responsibilities
to the Trust
pursuant to the User Agreement, or such higher care where required by law or as specified by the User Agreement.
Gemini uses commercially
reasonable efforts to provide the Trust with a reliable and secure platform. From time to time, interruptions,
errors or other
deficiencies in service may occur due to a variety of factors, some of which are outside of our control. These
factors can contribute
to delays, errors in service, or system outages, creating difficulties in accessing the Trust’s account,
withdrawing fiat
currency or bitcoin, depositing fiat currency or bitcoin, and/or placing and/or cancelingcancelling orders.
The
Trust could also suffer losses in the event that
a bank or money market fund in which the Trust holds cash, including the cash
associated with the Trust’s account at the
Cash Custodian or the Trust’s Fiat Account with the Bitcoin Custodian (which
is held at the Bitcoin Custodian’s banks
or money market funds for the benefit of its customers, including the Trust), fails,
becomes insolvent, enters receivership, is
taken over by regulators, enters financial distress, or otherwise suffers adverse effects
to its financial condition or operational
status. Recently, some banks have experienced financial distress. For example, on March 8, 2023, the California Department of Financial Protection
and Innovation (“DFPI”) announced that Silvergate Bank had entered voluntary liquidation, and on March 10, 2023, Silicon
Valley Bank, (“SVB”), was closed by the DFPI, which appointed the FDIC, as receiver. Similarly, on March 12, 2023,
the New York Department of Financial Services took possession of Signature Bank and appointed the FDIC as receiver. A joint statement
by the Department of the Treasury, the Federal Reserve and the FDIC on March 12, 2023, stated that depositors in Signature and
SVB will have access to all of their funds, including funds held in deposit accounts, in excess of the insured amount. On May
1, 2023, First Republic Bank was closed by the California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation, which appointed the
FDIC as receiver. Following a bidding process, the FDIC entered into a purchase and assumption agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank,
National Association, to acquire the substantial majority of the assets and assume certain liabilities of First Republic Bank
from the FDIC.
For example, on March 8, 2023, the California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation (“DFPI”) announced that Silvergate Bank had entered voluntary liquidation, and on March 10, 2023, Silicon Valley Bank, (“SVB”), was closed by the DFPI, which appointed the FDIC, as receiver. Similarly, on March 12, 2023, the New York Department of Financial Services took possession of Signature Bank and appointed the FDIC as receiver. A joint statement by the Department of the Treasury, the Federal Reserve and the FDIC on March 12, 2023, stated that depositors in Signature and SVB will have access to all of their funds, including funds held in deposit accounts, in excess of the insured amount. On May 1, 2023, First Republic Bank was closed by the California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation, which appointed the FDIC as receiver. Following a bidding process, the FDIC entered into a purchase and assumption agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association, to acquire the substantial majority of the assets and assume certain liabilities of First Republic Bank from the FDIC.
Digital asset markets in the United States
exist exist
in a state of regulatory uncertainty, and adverse legislative or regulatory developments could significantly harm the value
of of
bitcoin or the Shares, such as by banning, restricting or imposing onerous conditions or prohibitions on the use of bitcoins,
mining activity, digital wallets, the provision of services related to trading and custodyingproviding custody services for bitcoin, the
operation of the Bitcoin
network, or the digital asset markets generally.
There is a lack of consensus regarding the
regulation regulation
of digital assets, including bitcoin, and their markets. As a result of the growth in the size of the digital asset
market, as
well as the 2022 Events, the U.S. Congress and a number of U.S. federal and state agencies (including FinCEN, SEC, Office
of the
Comptroller of the Currency (the “OCC”), U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (the “CFTC”),CFTC, FINRA,
the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (“CFPB”),
the Department of Justice, the Department of Homeland Security,
the Federal Bureau of Investigation, the IRS,Internal Revenue Service
(“IRS”), state financial institution regulators, and others) have been examining the operations
of digital asset networks,
digital asset users and the digital asset markets. Many of these state and federal agencies have brought
enforcement actions or
issued consumer advisories regarding the risks posed by digital assets to investors. Ongoing and future
regulatory actions with
respect to digital assets generally or bitcoin in particular may alter, perhaps to a materially adverse
extent, the nature of an
investment in the Shares or the ability of the Trust to continue to operate.
The 2022 Events, including among others
the bankruptcy
filings of FTX and its subsidiaries, Three Arrows Capital, Celsius Network, Voyager Digital, Genesis, BlockFi and
others, and
other developments in the digital asset markets, have resulted in calls for heightened scrutiny and regulation of the
digital digital
asset industry, with a specific focus on intermediaries such as digital asset exchanges,platforms, platforms, and custodians. Federal
and and
state legislatures and regulatory agencies may introduce and enact new laws and regulations to regulate crypto asset intermediaries,
such as digital asset exchangesplatforms and custodians. The March 2023 collapses of Silicon Valley Bank, Silvergate Bank, and Signature
Bank, which in some cases provided services to the digital assetsasset industry, may amplify and/or accelerate these trends. On January
3, 2023, the federal banking agencies issued a joint statement on crypto-asset risks to banking organizations following events
which exposed vulnerabilities in the crypto-asset sector, including the risk of fraud and scams, legal uncertainties, significant
volatility, and contagion risk. Although banking organizations are not prohibited from crypto-asset related activities, the agencies
have expressed significant safety and soundness concerns with business models that are concentrated in crypto-asset related activities
or have concentrated exposures to the crypto-asset sector.
USU.S. federal and state regulators, as well
as the White
House, have issued reports and releases concerning crypto assets, including bitcoin and crypto asset markets. Further,
in 2023
the House of Representatives formed two new subcommittees: the Digital Assets, Financial Technology and Inclusion Subcommittee
and the Commodity Markets, Digital Assets, and Rural Development Subcommittee, each of which were formed in part to analyze issues
concerning crypto assets and demonstrate a legislative intent to develop and consider the adoption of federal legislation designed
to address the perceived need for regulation of and concerns surrounding the crypto industry. However, the extent and content of
of any forthcoming laws and regulations are not yet ascertainable with certainty, and it may not be ascertainable in the near future.
future. A divided Congress makes any prediction difficult. We cannot predict how these and other related events will affect us
or the crypto asset business.
In August 2021, the chair of the SEC stated
that he
believed investors using digital asset trading platforms are not adequately protected, and that activities on the platforms
can can
implicate the securities laws, commodities laws and banking laws, raising a number of issues related to protecting investors
and and
consumers, guarding against illicit activity, and ensuring financial stability. The chair expressed a need for the SEC to have
additional authorities to prevent transactions, products, and platforms from “falling between regulatory cracks,” as
as well as for more resources to protect investors in “this growing and volatile sector.” The chair called for federal
legislation centering on digital asset trading, lending, and decentralized finance platforms, seeking “additional plenary
authority” to write rules for digital asset trading and lending. It is not possible to predict whetherwhether, or when, any of these
developments will lead to Congress willgranting grant
additional authorities to the CFTC, SEC or other regulators, what the nature of such
additional authorities might be, how theyadditional legislation and/or regulatory oversight might
impact the ability of digital asset
markets to function or how any new regulations thator maychanges flowto fromexisting such authoritiesregulations might impact
the value of digital assets generally
and bitcoin held by the Trust specifically. The consequences of increased federal regulation
of digital assets and digital asset
activities could have a material adverse effect on the Trust and the Shares.
FinCEN requires any administrator or exchanger
of convertible
digital assetsvirtual currency (“CVC”) to register with FinCEN as a money transmitter and comply with the anti-moneyanti- money
laundering regulations applicable
to money transmitters. Entities which fail to comply with such regulations are subject to fines,
may be required to cease operations,
and could have potential criminal liability. For example, in 2015, FinCEN assessed a $700,000
fine against a sponsor of a digital
asset for violating several requirements of the Bank Secrecy Act by acting as an MSB and selling
the digital asset without registering
with FinCEN, and by failing to implement and maintain an adequate anti-money laundering program.
In 2017, FinCEN assessed a $110
million$110,000,000 fine against BTC-e, a now defunct digital asset exchange, for similar violations. The requirement
that exchangers that
do business in the United States register with FinCEN and comply with anti-moneyanti- money laundering regulations may
increase the cost
of buying and selling bitcoin and therefore may adversely affect the price of bitcoin and an investment in the
Shares.
The Office of Foreign Assets Control (“OFAC”)
of the U.S. Department of the Treasury (the “U.S. Treasury Department”) has added digital currency addresses, including
addresses on the Bitcoin Blockchain, to the list of Specially Designated Nationals whose assets are blocked, and with whom U.S.
persons persons
are generally prohibited from dealing. Such actions by OFAC, or by similar organizations in other jurisdictions, may introduce
uncertainty in the market as to whether bitcoin that has been associated with such addresses in the past can be easily sold. This
“tainted” bitcoin may trade at a substantial discount to untainted bitcoin. Reduced fungibility in the bitcoin markets
may reduce the liquidity of bitcoin and therefore adversely affect their price.
In February 2020, then-U.S. Treasury Secretary
Steven Steven
Mnuchin stated that digital assets were a “crucial area” on which the U.S. Treasury Department has spent significant
time. Secretary Mnuchin announced that the U.S. Treasury Department is preparing significant new regulations governing digital
asset activities to address concerns regarding the potential use for facilitating money laundering and other illicit activities.
In December 2020, FinCEN, a bureau within the U.S. Treasury Department, proposed a rule that would require financial institutions
to submit reports, keep records, and verify the identity of customers for certain transactions to or from so-called “unhosted”
wallets, also commonly referred to as self-hosted wallets. In January 2021, then U.S. Treasury Secretary nominee Janet Yellen stated
her belief that regulators should “look closely at how to encourage the use of digital assets for legitimate activities while
while curtailing their use for malign and illegal activities.”
Under regulations from the NYDFS,New York State
Department of Financial Services (“NYDFS”), businesses involved
in digital asset business activity for third parties
in or involving New York, excluding merchants and consumers, must apply for
a license, commonly known as a BitLicense, from the
NYDFS and must comply with anti-money laundering, cybersecurity, consumer
protection, and financial and reporting requirements,
among others. As an alternative to a BitLicense, a firm can apply for a
charter to become a limited purpose trust company under
New York law qualified to engage in certain digital asset business activities.
Other states have considered or approved digital
asset business activity statutes or rules, passing, for example, regulations
or guidance indicating that certain digital asset
business activities constitute money transmission requiring licensure.
Law enforcement agencies have often relied on the transparency of blockchains to facilitate investigations. However, certain privacy-enhancing features have been, or are expected to be, introduced to a number of digital asset networks. If the Bitcoin network were to adopt any of these privacy-enhancing features, these features may provide law enforcement agencies with less visibility into transaction-level data. Europol, the European Union’s law enforcement agency, released a report in October 2017 noting the increased use of privacy-enhancing digital assets like Zcash and Monero in criminal activity on the internet. In May 2022, OFAC banned all U.S. persons from using Blender.io, a digital asset mixing application that operates on the Bitcoin Blockchain to obfuscate the origin, destination and counterparties of blockchain transactions, by adding certain digital asset wallet addresses associated with Blender.io to its Specially Designated Nationals list. Blender.io receives a variety of transactions and mixes them together before transmitting them to their ultimate destinations. On March 23, 2022, Lazarus Group, a state-sponsored cyber hacking group associated with North Korea, carried out a major virtual currency heist from a blockchain project linked to the online game Axie Infinity; Blender.io was used in processing some of the illicit proceeds. The U.S. Treasury Department’s press release announcing the sanctions on Blender.io observed that, while most virtual currency activity is licit, virtual currency can be used for illicit activity, including sanctions evasion, through mixers, peer-to-peer exchangers, darknet markets, and exchanges. This includes the facilitation of heists, ransomware schemes, and other cybercrimes. On October 19, 2023, FinCEN published proposed rulemaking to apply the authorities in Section 311 of the USA PATRIOT Act to impose requirements on financial institutions that engage in CVC transactions with CVC mixers. The proposed rule, if adopted, would require covered financial institutions to report to FinCEN any CVC transactions they process that involves CVC mixing within or involving a jurisdiction outside the United States. The term “CVC mixing” covers more than just transactions that involve CVC mixers like Tornado Cash, and seemingly could cover a broader range of conduct involving technologies, services, or methods that have the effect of obfuscating the source, destination, or amount of a CVC transaction, whether or not the obfuscation was intentional. If the rule were to be adopted as proposed and if the Bitcoin Blockchain were to be deemed to or were to adopt features which come within the rule’s ambit, it could cause covered financial institutions - such as many digital asset platforms, or the Trust’s service providers, such as the Cash Custodian - to reduce support for or cease offering services for bitcoin or to the Trust, which could impair the utility of bitcoin, the value of the Shares and the Trust’s ability to operate in compliance with new laws and regulations.
Law enforcement agencies have often relied on the transparency
of blockchains to facilitate investigations. However, certain privacy-enhancing features have been, or are expected to be, introduced
to a number of digital asset networks. If the Bitcoin network were to adopt any of these features, these features may provide
law enforcement agencies with less visibility into transaction-level data.
The Trust will not hold or trade in commodity interests (as currently defined) regulated by the CEA, as administered by the CFTC. Furthermore, the Sponsor believes that the Trust is not a commodity pool for purposes of the CEA, and that neither the Sponsor nor the Trustee is subject to regulation by the CFTC as a commodity pool operator or a commodity trading advisor in connection with the operation of the Trust. Consequently, Shareholders will not have the regulatory protections provided to investors in CEA-regulated instruments or commodity pools. However, Congress is currently considering legislation, such as the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (CLARITY Act), which could give the CFTC greater powers to regulate the spot digital asset market. It is possible that, if legislation is passed, it could require the Trust or the Sponsor, or service providers to the Trust, such as the Liquidity Provider, Authorized Participant, Bitcoin Custodian, or Additional Bitcoin Custodian among others, to register with the CFTC. Such additional regulatory obligations may cause the Trust, the Trustee, the Sponsor, Liquidity Provider, Authorized Participant, Bitcoin Custodian, or Additional Bitcoin Custodian to incur extraordinary expenses. If the Trust, the Trustee, the Sponsor, Liquidity Provider, Authorized Participant, Bitcoin Custodian, or Additional Bitcoin Custodian decided to seek the required licenses, there is no guarantee that they will timely receive them. The Trustee may decide to discontinue and wind up the Trust. A dissolution of the Trust in response to the changed regulatory circumstances may be at a time that is disadvantageous to the Shareholders. A Liquidity Provider may also instead decide to terminate its role as a Liquidity Provider of the Trust, which may decrease the liquidity of the Shares.
Management's Discussion & Analysis (MD&A)
New heading “The Year Ended December 31, 2025”
Largest changes
“The Trust’s NAV increased from $1,280,450,332 at December 31, 2024 to $1,382,273,990 at December 31, 2025, a 7.95% increase. The increase in the Trust’s NAV resulted primarily from an increase in the number of outstanding shares, which increased from 48,500,000 Shares at December 31, 2024 to 55,900,000 Shares at December 31, 2025. …”see in full comparison
“Net decrease in net assets resulting from operations for the twelve-month period ended December 31, 2025, was $194,003,212 resulting from a net unrealized depreciation on investment in bitcoin of $278,761,960, a net realized gain of $84,758,748 on bitcoin sold for the redemption of Shares. Due to waivers, the Trust had no expenses during the twelve-month period.”see in full comparison
“The 6.33% decrease in the NAV per Share from $26.40 at December 31, 2024 to $24.73 at December 31, 2025 is directly related to the 6.34% decrease in the price of bitcoin during this period.”see in full comparison
“The NAV per Share of $35.54 on October 6, 2025, was the highest during the period, compared with a low during the period of $21.70 on April 8, 2025.”see in full comparison
Full comparison: every changed paragraph (5)
The Year Ended December 31, 2025
The Trust’s NAV increased from $1,280,450,332 at December 31, 2024 to $1,382,273,990 at December 31, 2025, a 7.95% increase. The increase in the Trust’s NAV resulted primarily from an increase in the number of outstanding shares, which increased from 48,500,000 Shares at December 31, 2024 to 55,900,000 Shares at December 31, 2025. This is the net result of 25,625,000 Shares (1,025 Baskets) being created and 18,225,000 Shares (729 Baskets) being redeemed during the period, and a decrease in the price of bitcoin, which decreased from $93,349 at December 31, 2024 to $87,432 at December 31, 2025 representing a 6.34% decline.
The 6.33% decrease in the NAV per Share from $26.40 at December 31, 2024 to $24.73 at December 31, 2025 is directly related to the 6.34% decrease in the price of bitcoin during this period.
The NAV per Share of $35.54 on October 6, 2025, was the highest during the period, compared with a low during the period of $21.70 on April 8, 2025.
Net decrease in net assets resulting from operations for the twelve-month period ended December 31, 2025, was $194,003,212 resulting from a net unrealized depreciation on investment in bitcoin of $278,761,960, a net realized gain of $84,758,748 on bitcoin sold for the redemption of Shares. Due to waivers, the Trust had no expenses during the twelve-month period.
What changed in the latest 10-Q
Risk Factors
New heading “The trading prices of many digital assets, including bitcoin, have experienced extreme volatility in recent periods and may continue to do so. Extreme volatility in the future, including further declines in the trading prices of bitcoin, could have a material adverse effect on the value of the Shares and the Shares could lose all or substantially all of their value.”
New heading “A determination that bitcoin or any other digital asset is a “security” may adversely affect the value of bitcoin and the value of the Shares, and result in potentially extraordinary, nonrecurring expenses to, or termination of, the Trust.”
Largest changes
“Extreme volatility may persist, and the value of the Shares may significantly decline in the future without recovery. The digital asset markets may still be experiencing a bubble or may experience a bubble again in the future. For example, in the first half of 2022, each of Celsius Network, Voyager Digital Ltd., and Three Arrows Capital declared bankruptcy, resulting in a loss of confidence in participants of the digital asset ecosystem and negative publicity surrounding digital assets more broadly. In November 2022, FTX Trading Ltd. …”see in full comparison
“Additionally, to the extent the Authorized Participant, Liquidity Provider, the Trust or the Sponsor is found to have operated without appropriate state or federal licenses by any regulator or court, it may be subject to investigation, administrative or court proceedings, operating restrictions, and civil or criminal monetary fines and penalties, all of which would harm the reputation of the Authorized Participant, Liquidity Provider, the Trust or the Sponsor, disrupt their operations, and have a material adverse effect on the price of the Shares. …”see in full comparison
“The trading prices of many digital assets, including bitcoin, have experienced extreme volatility in recent periods and may continue to do so. Extreme volatility in the future, including further declines in the trading prices of bitcoin, could have a material adverse effect on the value of the Shares and the Shares could lose all or substantially all of their value.”see in full comparison
“Moreover, whether or not the Sponsor or the Trust were subject to additional regulatory requirements as a result of any SEC or federal court determination that its assets include securities, the Sponsor may nevertheless decide to terminate the Trust, in order, if possible, to liquidate the Trust’s assets while a liquid market still exists. For example, in response to the SEC’s action against the issuer of XRP, certain significant market participants announced they would no longer support XRP and announced measures, including the delisting of XRP from major digital asset trading platforms. …”see in full comparison
“If regulatory changes or interpretations of an Authorized Participant’s, Liquidity Provider’s, the Trust’s or the Sponsor’s activities require the regulation of an Authorized Participant, Liquidity Provider, the Trust or the Sponsor as a money service business under the regulations promulgated by FinCEN under the authority of the U.S. …”see in full comparison
“To the extent that the activities of any Authorized Participant, Liquidity Provider, the Trust or the Sponsor cause it to be deemed a “money services business” under the regulations promulgated by FinCEN under the authority of the BSA, such Authorized Participant, Liquidity Provider, the Trust or the Sponsor may be required to comply with FinCEN regulations, including those that would mandate the Authorized Participant, Liquidity Provider, Trust or the Sponsor to implement anti-money laundering programs, make certain reports to FinCEN and maintain certain records. …”see in full comparison
Full comparison: every changed paragraph (26)
The trading prices of many digital assets, including bitcoin, have experienced extreme volatility in recent periods and may continue to do so. Extreme volatility in the future, including further declines in the trading prices of bitcoin, could have a material adverse effect on the value of the Shares and the Shares could lose all or substantially all of their value.
The trading prices of many digital assets, including bitcoin, have experienced extreme volatility in recent periods and may continue to do so. The average annualized one-year trailing volatility of bitcoin over the past ten years to date remains elevated at 65%. Over the course of 2021, there were steep increases in the value of certain digital assets, including bitcoin, and multiple market observers asserted that digital assets were experiencing a “bubble.” These increases were followed by steep drawdowns throughout 2022 in digital asset trading prices, including for bitcoin. In the 2021-2022 cycle, the price of bitcoin peaked at $67,734 and bottomed at $15,632, representing a 77% drawdown. After reaching an all-time high of approximately $125,000 in October 2025, the price of bitcoin declined to below $59,000 in June 2026, representing a drawdown of more than 50%, and there can be no assurance that the price of bitcoin will not decline further. These episodes of rapid price appreciation followed by steep drawdowns have occurred multiple times throughout bitcoin’s history, including in 2011, 2013-2014, and 2017-2018, before repeating again in 2021-2022, 2024, and 2025-2026. Digital asset prices have continued to fluctuate in 2025 and 2026 For example, bitcoin lost approximately 14% of its value according to some sources in mid-October 2025 as part of wider digital asset market turmoil, widely attributed to global trade tensions, which triggered a number of dislocations in the digital asset market (the “October 2025 Flash Crash”), including liquidations of up to $20 billion in collateral in the form of various digital assets (including, but not limited to, bitcoin) securing trades (particularly perpetual futures contracts and various forms of financing transactions), along with reported service interruptions, halted orders, forced unwinding of trades, and other issues, across centralized and decentralized exchanges. Digital asset prices, including the price of bitcoin, declined significantly during the first half of 2026, and during the second quarter of 2026, U.S. spot bitcoin exchange-traded products experienced their largest quarterly net outflows since such products launched in January 2024, according to some sources. As of the date of this report, the price of bitcoin remains significantly below its October 2025 all-time high, and digital asset prices continue to fluctuate significantly.
Extreme volatility may persist, and the value of the Shares may significantly decline in the future without recovery. The digital asset markets may still be experiencing a bubble or may experience a bubble again in the future. For example, in the first half of 2022, each of Celsius Network, Voyager Digital Ltd., and Three Arrows Capital declared bankruptcy, resulting in a loss of confidence in participants of the digital asset ecosystem and negative publicity surrounding digital assets more broadly. In November 2022, FTX Trading Ltd. (“FTX”), one of the largest digital asset platforms by volume at the time, halted customer withdrawals amid rumors of the company’s liquidity issues and likely insolvency, which were subsequently corroborated by its CEO. Shortly thereafter, FTX’s CEO resigned and FTX and many of its affiliates filed for bankruptcy in the United States, while other affiliates have entered insolvency, liquidation, or similar proceedings around the globe, following which the U.S. Department of Justice brought criminal fraud and other charges, and the SEC and CFTC brought civil securities and commodities fraud charges, against certain of FTX’s and its affiliates’ senior executives, including its former CEO. In addition, several other entities in the digital asset industry filed for bankruptcy following FTX’s bankruptcy filing, such as BlockFi Inc. and Genesis Global Capital, LLC (“Genesis”). In April 2025, the U.S. Department of Justice (the “DOJ”) issued a policy memo ending “regulation by prosecution” for digital asset actors, refocusing on fraud and illicit finance and aligning enforcement with executive directives, and the Acting Chairman of the CFTC directed staff to follow the DOJ’s new policy, pausing certain prosecutions. In July 2025, BlockFi reached a $35 million settlement with the DOJ, clearing legal hurdles for creditor distributions. In response to these events (collectively, the “2022 Events”), the digital asset markets have experienced extreme price volatility and other entities in the digital asset industry have been, and may continue to be, negatively affected, further undermining confidence in the digital asset markets. These events have also negatively impacted the liquidity of the digital asset markets as certain entities affiliated with FTX engaged in significant trading activity. If the liquidity of the digital asset markets continues to be negatively impacted by these events, digital asset prices, including bitcoin, may continue to experience significant volatility or price declines and confidence in the digital asset markets may be further undermined. In addition, regulatory and enforcement scrutiny has increased, including from, among others, the Department of Justice, the SEC, the CFTC, the White House and Congress, as well as state regulators and authorities, and the digital asset industry remains subject to significant attention from regulators, legislators and policymakers. These events are continuing to develop and the full facts are continuing to emerge. It is not possible to predict at this time all of the risks that they may pose to the Trust, its service providers or to the digital asset industry as a whole.
The prices of some digital assets, including bitcoin, have fluctuated significantly following the 2024 election of Donald Trump as president of the United States. Industry participants generally expect the administration to continue to take a constructive approach toward the digital asset industry. Through his executive orders, President Trump has indicated that the administration will work toward providing greater regulatory clarity for blockchain technology and digital assets, thereby fostering their development in the United States. Similarly, the digital asset industry expects favorable legislation from the U.S. Congress, as certain members have expressed interest in advancing digital asset specific legislation. There can be no assurance that market expectations around future activity by the administration or Congress will be fulfilled, or that digital asset prices will rise or maintain their current levels. Some commentators have referred to the digital asset market post-President Trump’s election as a bubble. There can be no assurance that such a bubble does not exist. The failure of the administration and Congress to provide the expected level of regulatory clarity and support for blockchain technology and digital assets, could lead to a decline in digital asset prices, including bitcoin. Such a decline could cause a decline in the value of our Shares and cause our Shareholders to suffer losses. Moreover, there can be no assurance that political dynamics and sentiments toward the digital asset industry, or market perceptions of those sentiments, will not unfavorably shift over time. Extreme volatility in the future, including further declines in the trading prices of bitcoin, could have a material adverse effect on the value of the Shares, and could lose all or substantially all of their value.
In addition, the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins Act of 2025 (“GENIUS Act”), which establishes a federal framework for payment stablecoins, was enacted in July 2025. The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (the “CLARITY Act”), which is intended to establish a federal market-structure framework for certain digital assets, passed the U.S. House of Representatives in July 2025 and was advanced by the U.S. Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs in May 2026. In July 2026, Senate Republicans released updated bill text, but the CLARITY Act has not been enacted and its prospects remain uncertain. Delays in, changes to, or adverse developments relating to implementation of the GENIUS Act, enactment of the CLARITY Act or similar legislation, or other federal or state regulatory actions could negatively affect market sentiment, liquidity, trading activity, or the prices of digital assets, including bitcoin. Any resulting decline in the price of bitcoin could cause a reduction in the value of the Shares and cause Shareholders to suffer losses.
On March 6, 2025, President Trump issued an executive order for the “Establishment of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and United States Digital Asset Stockpile” (the “Order”). The Order requires the Secretary of the U.S. Department of Treasury to establish two offices to administer and maintain a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve” (the “Bitcoin Reserve”) and a U.S. Digital Asset Stockpile (the “Digital Asset Stockpile”), respectively. The Bitcoin Reserve will be capitalized with bitcoin forfeited as part of U.S. criminal or civil proceedings or in satisfaction of penalties imposed by executive agencies. The Digital Asset Stockpile will be capitalized initially with other digital assets forfeited as part of criminal or civil asset forfeiture proceedings. This development has led to expectations within the bitcoin market that the United States may begin acquiring and holding bitcoin. The Order directs the Secretaries of the U.S. Treasury Department and the U.S. Department of Commerce to develop budget-neutral strategies for acquiring additional bitcoin for the Bitcoin Reserve. Legislation has been introduced in the U.S. Senate and the U.S. House of Representatives, which would direct the acquisition of one million bitcoin by the federal government over a five-year period, which would be held in trust in secure storage by the U.S. Treasury. The bill proposes to fund the bitcoin acquisition using remittances from the Federal Reserve, revaluations of Federal Reserve gold certificates, and other funding mechanisms. Bills have also been introduced in several state legislatures to authorize the acquisition of bitcoin by state governments or their instrumentalities, some of which have failed to pass. In May 2026, legislation styled the American Reserve Modernization Act of 2026 was introduced in the U.S. House of Representatives, which would, among other things, establish the Bitcoin Reserve and a digital asset stockpile in statute and require the consolidation of digital assets held by federal agencies within the U.S. Department of the Treasury. As of the date of this report, these initiatives remain subject to significant uncertainty. If now or in the future, the U.S. federal government or any state government or any instrumentality thereof does not announce bitcoin acquisition plans or does announce such plans, but these plans fall short of market expectations, the price of bitcoin may decline, which may impact Share value. Even if government acquisitions occur or if legislation requiring acquisitions is enacted, the price of bitcoin may decline if there are implementation challenges, unexpected difficulties, policy or legal reversals, or changes in political priorities, any of which may negatively impact Share value. Further, executive orders, such as the Order, are subject to change and can be reversed or overturned. The enduring existence and size of the Bitcoin Reserve and Digital Asset Stockpile, and the passage and implementation of legislation at the federal or state level, are subject to complex challenges and uncertainty that makes it difficult to evaluate their effect on the value of bitcoin and the Shares, now or in the future. Extreme volatility in the future, including further declines in the trading prices of bitcoin, could have a material adverse effect on the value of the Shares and the Shares could lose all or substantially all of their value. The Trust is not actively managed and will not take any actions to take advantage, or mitigate the impacts, of volatility in the price of bitcoin.
There is a lack of consensus regarding
the regulation
of digital assets, including bitcoin, and their markets. As a result of the growth in the size of the digital asset
market, as well as
the 2022 Events, the U.S. Congress and a number of U.S. federal and state agencies (including FinCEN, SEC, Office
of the Comptroller of
the Currency (the “OCC”), CFTC, FINRA, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (“CFPB”),
the Department of Justice,
the Department of Homeland Security, the Federal Bureau of Investigation, the Internal Revenue Service
(“IRS”), state financial
institution regulators, and others) have been examining the operations of digital asset networks,
digital asset users and the digital
asset markets. ManyCongress is currently considering several bills relating to the regulation of thesedigital assets and stablecoins, which may
not pass and be enacted in their present form or at all. Many state and federal agencies have brought enforcement actions or
issued consumer
advisories regarding the risks posed by digital assets to investors. Ongoing and future regulatory actions with
respect to digital assets
generally or bitcoin in particular may alter, perhaps to a materially adverse extent, the nature of an
investment in the Shares or the
ability of the Trust to continue to operate.
The 2022 Events, including among others
the bankruptcy
filings of FTX and its subsidiaries, Three Arrows Capital, Celsius Network, Voyager Digital, Genesis, BlockFi and
others, and other developments
in the digital asset markets, have resulted in calls for heightened scrutiny and regulation of the
digital asset industry, with a specific
focus on intermediaries such as digital asset platforms, platforms,exchanges and custodians. Federal
and state legislatures and regulatory agencies may introduce
and enact new laws and regulations to regulate crypto asset intermediaries,
such as digital asset platformsexchanges and custodians. The March
2023 collapses of Silicon Valley Bank, Silvergate Bank, and Signature
Bank, which in some cases provided services to the digital asset
industry, may amplify and/or accelerate these trends.
U.S. federal and state regulators, as well
as the
White House, have issued reports and releases concerning crypto assets, including bitcoin and crypto asset markets. Further,
in 2023 the
House of Representatives formed two new subcommittees: the Digital Assets, Financial Technology and Inclusion Subcommittee
and the Commodity
Markets, Digital Assets, and Rural Development Subcommittee, each of which were formed in part to analyze issues
concerning crypto assets
and demonstrate a legislative intent to develop and consider the adoption of federal legislation designed
to address the perceived need
for regulation of and concerns surrounding the crypto industry. However, the extent and content of
any forthcoming laws and regulations
are not yet ascertainable with certainty, and it may not be ascertainable in the near future.
We cannotThe predictimpact howof these and other related events will affect us or
on the cryptoTrust, the digital asset business.industry, and the value of the Shares cannot be predicted.
There remains substantial uncertainty regarding the
the regulation of digital assets, including bitcoin, and their markets, notwithstanding certain recent federal interpretive actions intended
intended to provide additional clarity. On March 17, 2026, the SEC issued an interpretive release (the “Interpretive Release”) regarding
regarding the application of the federal securities laws to certain types of digital assets and certain transactions involving
digital assets.,assets, and
the CFTC concurrently provided guidance that it and its staff will administer the Commodity Exchange Act consistent
with that interpretation.
Among other things, the Interpretive Release introduces a taxonomy for crypto assets; addresses how a non-security
crypto asset may become
subject to, and may cease to be subject to, an investment contract; and clarifies the application of the
federal securities laws to airdrops,
protocol mining, protocol staking and the wrapping of a non-security crypto asset. Although
the March 17, 2026 interpretive guidance may
provide greater clarity in certain respects, this guidance is not binding law, may
be revised, and does not eliminate uncertainty, particularly
with respect to the regulatory treatment of specific activities or
transactions involving crypto assets.In August 2021, the chair of the
SEC stated that he believed investors using digital asset
trading platforms are not adequately protected, and that activities on the platforms
can implicate the securities laws, commodities
laws and banking laws, raising a number of issues related to protecting investors and consumers,
guarding against illicit activity,
and ensuring financial stability. The chair expressed a need for the SEC to have additional authorities
to prevent transactions,
products, and platforms from “falling between regulatory cracks,” as well as for more resources to
protect investors
in “this growing and volatile sector.” The chair called for federal legislation centering on digital asset
trading, trading,
lending, and decentralized finance platforms, seeking “additional plenary authority” to write rules for digital asset
trading and lending. It is not possible to predict whether, or when, any of these developments will lead to Congress granting additional
authorities to the CFTC, SEC or other regulators, what the nature of such additional authorities might be, how additional legislation
and/or regulatory oversight might impact the ability of digital asset markets to function or how any new regulations or changes
to existing
regulations might impact the value of digital assets generally and bitcoin held by the Trust specifically. The consequences
of increased
federal regulation of digital assets and digital asset activities could have a material adverse effect on the Trust
and the Shares.
A determination that bitcoin or any other digital asset is a “security” may adversely affect the value of bitcoin and the value of the Shares, and result in potentially extraordinary, nonrecurring expenses to, or termination of, the Trust.
Depending on its characteristics, a digital asset may be considered a “security” under the federal securities laws. The test for determining whether a particular digital asset is a “security” is complex and difficult to apply, and the outcome is difficult to predict. Although certain public statements by SEC officials have suggested that bitcoin may not be treated as a security, such statements are non-binding and subject to change, and regulatory authorities or courts may reach a different conclusion.
Whether a digital asset is a security under the federal securities laws depends on whether it is included in the lists of instruments making up the definition of “security” in the Securities Act, the Exchange Act and the Investment Company Act. Digital assets as such do not appear in any of these lists, although each list includes the terms “investment contract” and “note,” and the SEC has typically analyzed whether a particular digital asset is a security by reference to whether it meets the tests developed by the federal courts interpreting these terms, known as the Howey and Reves tests, respectively. For many digital assets, whether or not the Howey or Reves tests are met is difficult to resolve definitively, and substantial legal arguments can often be made both in favor of and against a particular digital asset qualifying as a security under one or both of the Howey and Reves tests. Adding to the complexity, the SEC staff has indicated that the security status of a particular digital asset can change over time as the relevant facts evolve.
In the Interpretive Release, the SEC stated that, based on its current understanding of the digital asset markets, bitcoin is a “digital commodity” and not itself a security. Although the Interpretive Release represents the official position of the SEC, it is not itself a statute or binding rule, does not supersede or replace the Howey test, is based on the SEC’s current understanding of the digital asset markets, and may be refined, revised or expanded. In addition, a court, regulator, or future administration could take a different view, and future legislation, rulemaking, enforcement positions, judicial decisions or other developments could result in bitcoin, the Trust, the Shares or transactions involving bitcoin being treated differently than contemplated by the Interpretive Release. Any such developments could adversely affect the Trust and the value of the Shares.
As part of determining whether bitcoin is a security for purposes of the federal securities laws, the Sponsor takes into account a number of factors, including the various definitions of “security” under the federal securities laws and federal court decisions interpreting elements of these definitions, such as the U.S. Supreme Court’s decisions in the Howey and Reves cases, as well as reports, orders, press releases, public statements and speeches by the SEC and its staff providing guidance on when a digital asset may be a security for purposes of the federal securities laws, and other materials relevant to the status of bitcoin as a security (or not). Finally, the Sponsor discusses the security status of bitcoin with its securities lawyers. Through this process the Sponsor believes that it is applying the proper legal standards in making a good faith determination that it believes bitcoin is not presently a security under the federal law notwithstanding the uncertainties inherent in the Howey and Reves tests. However, because of these uncertainties and the fact-based nature of the analysis, the Sponsor acknowledges that notwithstanding the SEC’s characterization of bitcoin as a digital commodity in the Interpretive Release, bitcoin may in the future be found by the SEC or a federal court to be a security under the federal securities laws notwithstanding the Sponsor’s prior conclusion; and the Sponsor’s prior conclusion, even if reasonable under the circumstances and made in good faith, would not preclude legal or regulatory action based on the presence of a security.
The Sponsor may dissolve the Trust if the Sponsor determines bitcoin is a security under the federal securities laws, whether that determination is initially made by the Sponsor itself, or because the SEC or a federal court subsequently makes that determination. Because the legal tests for determining whether a digital asset is or is not a security often leave room for interpretation, for so long as the Sponsor believes there to be good faith grounds to conclude that the Trust’s bitcoin is not a security, the Sponsor does not intend to dissolve the Trust on the basis that bitcoin could at some future point be determined to be a security.
Any enforcement action by the SEC or a state securities regulator asserting that bitcoin is a security, or a court decision to that effect, would be expected to have an immediate material adverse impact on the trading value of bitcoin, as well as the Shares. This is because bitcoin and related infrastructure, including exchanges, custodians, and trading venues, currently operate outside the securities regulatory framework, and a determination that bitcoin is a security would require compliance with regulations — including registration, disclosure, and trading requirements — with which participants in the bitcoin market are not currently structured to comply.
If a digital asset is determined or asserted to be a security, it is likely to become difficult or impossible for the digital asset to be traded, cleared or custodied in the United States through the same channels used by non-security digital assets, which in addition to materially and adversely affecting the trading value of the digital asset is likely to significantly impact its liquidity and market participants’ ability to convert the digital asset into U.S. dollars. For example, in 2020 the SEC filed a complaint against the issuer of XRP, Ripple Labs, Inc., and two of its executives, alleging that they raised more than $1.3 billion through XRP sales that should have been registered under the federal securities laws, but were not. In the years prior to the SEC’s action, XRP’s market capitalization at times reached over $140 billion. However, in the weeks following the SEC’s complaint, XRP’s market capitalization fell to less than $10 billion, which was less than half of its market capitalization in the days prior to the complaint. Although the SEC and Ripple reached a settlement in August 2025 to resolve the enforcement action and to dismiss their respective court appeals, which has largely been viewed as positive in the digital assets market, there remains continued uncertainty as to the regulatory framework that will be applied by the SEC and courts to digital assets. Such uncertainty may remain until legislation providing a regulatory framework is adopted. There is currently legislation being considered that addresses this regulatory uncertainty, most notably the CLARITY Act, but it is unclear if such legislation will be enacted.
In addition, if bitcoin is determined to be a security, the Trust could be considered an unregistered “investment company” under SEC rules, which could necessitate the Trust’s liquidation. In this case, the Trust and the Sponsor may be deemed to have participated in an illegal offering of securities and there is no guarantee that the Sponsor will be able to register the Trust under the Investment Company Act at such time or take such other actions as may be necessary to ensure the Trust’s activities comply with applicable law, which could force the Sponsor to liquidate the Trust.
Moreover, whether or not the Sponsor or the Trust were subject to additional regulatory requirements as a result of any SEC or federal court determination that its assets include securities, the Sponsor may nevertheless decide to terminate the Trust, in order, if possible, to liquidate the Trust’s assets while a liquid market still exists. For example, in response to the SEC’s action against the issuer of XRP, certain significant market participants announced they would no longer support XRP and announced measures, including the delisting of XRP from major digital asset trading platforms. The sponsor of the Grayscale XRP Trust subsequently dissolved this trust and liquidated its assets. If the SEC or a federal court were to determine that bitcoin is a security, it is likely that the value of the Shares would decline significantly, and that the Trust itself may be terminated and, if practical, its assets liquidated.
Rules like those previously proposed by the SEC, that amend the definition of a “qualified custodian” and expand the current custody rule in 406(4)-2 to cover all digital assets, including bitcoin and related advisory activities would likely impose additional regulatory requirements with respect to the custody and storage of digital assets, including bitcoin. The Sponsor is studying the impact that such amendments may have on the Trust and its arrangements with the Bitcoin Custodian and the Additional Bitcoin Custodian. It is possible that such amendments, if adopted, could prevent the Bitcoin Custodian and the Additional Bitcoin Custodian from serving as service providers to the Trust, or require potentially significant modifications to existing arrangements under the Custody Agreement and the Additional Bitcoin Custody Agreement, which could cause the Trust to bear potentially significant increased costs. If the Sponsor is unable to make such modifications or appoint successor service providers to fill the role that the Bitcoin Custodian or the Additional Bitcoin Custodian currently play, the Trust’s operations (including in relation to creations and redemptions of Baskets and the holding of bitcoin) could be negatively affected, the Trust could dissolve (including at a time that is potentially disadvantageous to Shareholders), and the value of the Shares or an investment in the Trust could be affected.
Further, the proposed amendments could have a severe negative impact on the price of bitcoin and therefore the value of the Shares if enacted, by, among other things, making it more difficult for investors to gain access to bitcoin, or causing certain holders of bitcoin to sell their holdings.
If regulatory changes or interpretations of an Authorized Participant’s, Liquidity Provider’s, the Trust’s or the Sponsor’s activities require the regulation of an Authorized Participant, Liquidity Provider, the Trust or the Sponsor as a money service business under the regulations promulgated by FinCEN under the authority of the U.S. Bank Secrecy Act or as a money transmitter or digital asset business under state regimes for the licensing of such businesses, an Authorized Participant, Liquidity Provider, the Trust or the Sponsor may be required to register and comply with such regulations, which could result in extraordinary, recurring and/or nonrecurring expenses to the Authorized Participant, Trust or Sponsor or increased commissions for the Authorized Participant’s clients, thereby reducing the liquidity of the Shares.
To the extent that the activities of any Authorized Participant, Liquidity Provider, the Trust or the Sponsor cause it to be deemed a “money services business” under the regulations promulgated by FinCEN under the authority of the BSA, such Authorized Participant, Liquidity Provider, the Trust or the Sponsor may be required to comply with FinCEN regulations, including those that would mandate the Authorized Participant, Liquidity Provider, Trust or the Sponsor to implement anti-money laundering programs, make certain reports to FinCEN and maintain certain records. Similarly, the activities of an Authorized Participant, Liquidity Provider, the Trust or the Sponsor may require it to be licensed as a money transmitter or as a digital asset business, such as under NYDFS’ BitLicense regulation.
Such additional regulatory obligations may cause the Authorized Participant, Liquidity Provider, the Trust or the Sponsor to incur extraordinary expenses. If the Authorized Participant, Liquidity Provider, the Trust or the Sponsor decide to seek the required licenses, there is no guarantee that they will timely receive them. The Authorized Participant or Liquidity Provider may also instead decide to terminate its role as Authorized Participant or Liquidity Provider of the Trust, or the Sponsor may decide to terminate the Trust. Termination by the Authorized Participant may decrease the liquidity of the Shares, which may adversely affect the value of the Shares, and any termination of the Trust in response to the changed regulatory circumstances may be at a time that is disadvantageous to the Shareholders.
Additionally, to the extent the Authorized Participant, Liquidity Provider, the Trust or the Sponsor is found to have operated without appropriate state or federal licenses by any regulator or court, it may be subject to investigation, administrative or court proceedings, operating restrictions, and civil or criminal monetary fines and penalties, all of which would harm the reputation of the Authorized Participant, Liquidity Provider, the Trust or the Sponsor, disrupt their operations, and have a material adverse effect on the price of the Shares. Although Liquidity Providers represent to the Trust that they have obtained all necessary governmental licenses in the Liquidity Provider agreements, if such representations prove inaccurate, such Liquidity Providers may suffer adverse consequences and be unable to perform their obligations or engage in bitcoin transactions with the Trust, or the Trust’s operations could be adversely affected and decreased liquidity for the Shares or losses for Shareholders could result.
Management's Discussion & Analysis (MD&A)
New heading “The Six Months Ended June 30, 2026”
Largest changes
“The Trust’s NAV decreased from $1,382,273,990 at December 31, 2025 to $958,827,545 at June 30, 2026, a 30.63% decrease. The decrease in the Trust’s NAV resulted primarily from a decrease in the price of bitcoin, which decreased 32.48% from $87,432.00 at December 31, 2025 to $59,037.45 at June 30, 2026. This decrease was partially offset as the number of outstanding Shares increased from 55,900,000 Shares at December 31, 2025 to 57,425,000 Shares at June 30, 2026. …”see in full comparison
The Trust’s NAV decreased fromsee in full comparison$1,382,273,990 at December 31, 2025 to$1,158,283,647 at March 31,31,2026 to $ 958,827,545 at June 30, 2026, a16.20%17.22% decrease. The decrease in the Trust’s NAV resulted primarily from aadecrease in the price of bitcoin, which decreased22.10%13.33% from$87,432.00 at December 31, 2025 to$68,115.81 at March 31, 2026 to $59,037.45 at June 30, 2026. InInaddition, the number of outstanding Sharesincreaseddecreased from55,900,000 Shares at December 31, 2025 to60,125,000 Shares at March 31, 2026 to 57,425,000 Shares at June 30, 2026. This is the net result of8,925,0003,200,000 Shares (357128 Baskets) being created and4,700,0005,900,000 Shares (188236 Baskets) being redeemed during theperiod.three months ended June 30, 2026.
“Net decrease in net assets resulting from operations for the six months ended June 30, 2026, was $(458,070,903) resulting from a net unrealized appreciation (depreciation) on investment in bitcoin of $(438,684,196), and a net realized loss of $(19,386,707) on bitcoin sold for the redemption of Shares. The Trust had no expenses during the six months ended June 30, 2026 as they were all waived by the Sponsor.”see in full comparison
Net decrease in net assets resulting from operations for thesee in full comparisonquarterthree months endedMarchJune31,30, 2026, was$309,912,457$(148,158,446) resulting fromathe net change in unrealized appreciation (depreciation)onfrom investment in bitcoin of$307,116,056,$(131,568,140), and a net realized loss of$2,796,401$(16,590,306) on bitcoin sold for the redemption of Shares. The Trust had no expenses during thequarterthree months ended June 30, 2026 as they were all waived by the Sponsor.
“The 32.47% decrease in the NAV per Share from $24.73 at December 31, 2025 to $16.70 at June 30, 2026 is primarily related to the 32.48% decrease in the price of bitcoin during these six months ended June 30, 2026.”see in full comparison
Full comparison: every changed paragraph (10)
The QuarterThree Months Ended MarchJune 31,202630, 2026
The Trust’s NAV decreased from $1,382,273,990 at December
31, 2025 to $1,158,283,647 at March
31, 31,2026 to $ 958,827,545 at June 30, 2026, a 16.20%17.22% decrease. The decrease in the Trust’s NAV resulted primarily from a
a decrease in the price of bitcoin, which decreased 22.10%13.33% from $87,432.00 at December 31, 2025 to $68,115.81 at March 31, 2026 to $59,037.45 at June 30, 2026. In
In addition, the number of outstanding Shares increaseddecreased from 55,900,000 Shares at December 31, 2025 to 60,125,000 Shares at March
31, 2026 to 57,425,000 Shares at June 30,
2026. This is the net result of 8,925,0003,200,000 Shares (357128 Baskets) being created and 4,700,0005,900,000 Shares (188236 Baskets) being redeemed
during the period.three months ended June 30, 2026.
The 22.12 %13.29% decrease in the NAV per Share from $24.73 at December
31, 2025 to $19.26 at March 31,
2026 to $16.70 at June 30, 2026 is primarily related to the 22.10%13.33% decrease in the price of bitcoin during thisthese period.the months ended June 30, 2026.
The NAV per Share of $27.59$23.17 on JanuaryMay 14,11, 2026, was the highest
during the quarter,three months, compared with a low during the quarterthree months of $18.08$16.70 on FebruaryJune 5,30, 2026.
Net decrease in net assets resulting from operations for the
quarterthree months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2026, was $309,912,457$(148,158,446) resulting from athe net change in unrealized appreciation (depreciation) onfrom investment in
bitcoin of $307,116,056,
$(131,568,140), and a net realized loss of $2,796,401$(16,590,306) on bitcoin sold for the redemption of Shares. The Trust had no
expenses during the quarter
three months ended June 30, 2026 as they were all waived by the Sponsor.
The Six Months Ended June 30, 2026
The Trust’s NAV decreased from $1,382,273,990 at December 31, 2025 to $958,827,545 at June 30, 2026, a 30.63% decrease. The decrease in the Trust’s NAV resulted primarily from a decrease in the price of bitcoin, which decreased 32.48% from $87,432.00 at December 31, 2025 to $59,037.45 at June 30, 2026. This decrease was partially offset as the number of outstanding Shares increased from 55,900,000 Shares at December 31, 2025 to 57,425,000 Shares at June 30, 2026. This is the net result of 12,125,000 Shares (485 Baskets) being created and 10,600,000 Shares (424 Baskets) being redeemed during the six months ended June 30, 2026.
The 32.47% decrease in the NAV per Share from $24.73 at December 31, 2025 to $16.70 at June 30, 2026 is primarily related to the 32.48% decrease in the price of bitcoin during these six months ended June 30, 2026.
The NAV per Share of $27.59 on January 14, 2026, was the highest during the six months, compared with a low during the six months of $16.70 on June 30, 2026.
Net decrease in net assets resulting from operations for the six months ended June 30, 2026, was $(458,070,903) resulting from a net unrealized appreciation (depreciation) on investment in bitcoin of $(438,684,196), and a net realized loss of $(19,386,707) on bitcoin sold for the redemption of Shares. The Trust had no expenses during the six months ended June 30, 2026 as they were all waived by the Sponsor.
HODL insider buying and selling (Form 4)
Since 2026-04-11, insiders reported open-market purchases in 0 Form 4 filings and open-market sales in 0 filings. Totals add up every open-market (code P and S) line in those filings, using the prices reported in the filings. Awards, option exercises, tax withholding and gifts are listed below but not counted.
No Form 4 stock transactions in this period.
Well-known investors holding HODL (13F)
| Investor | Quarter | Shares | Reported value | % of their 13F | Change vs prior quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renaissance Technologies | 2026-06-30 | 91,200 | $1.5M | 0.0% | Added 135% |