OSG 10-K & 10-Q changes, risk factors and insider trading
Octave Specialty Group Inc. · NYSE · Surety Insurance · CIK 874501 · All filings on SEC.gov
At a glance
What changed in the latest 10-K
Risk Factors
New heading “Catastrophic events may cause volatility of net income and comprehensive income primarily through changes to loss reserves, which may not be adequate to cover potential losses, and declines in revenues. Revenue may be adversely impacted by reduced business activity and lower sliding scale and profit commissions.”
New heading “Our insurance subsidiaries are subject to minimum capital and surplus requirements, and our failure to meet these requirements could subject us to regulatory action.”
New heading “Future growth of our Insurance Distribution business is highly dependent upon, amongst other items, our ability to launch de novo MGA/MGUs, which is highly dependent on our ability to attract insurance talent, operationalize new MGA/MGUs and compete for business.”
New heading “Octave is planning to further develop and expand its Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance and Insurance Distribution businesses; however, such plans may not be realized, or if realized, may not create value and may negatively impact our financial results.”
New heading “Octave has significant obligations as the counterparty to several put contracts related to redeemable minority interests in our Insurance Distribution business. Obligations under these put contracts may be material and may require Octave to raise third party capital to fund.”
New heading “Adverse economic factors, including recession, inflation, periods of high unemployment or lower economic activity could result in the sale of fewer policies than expected or an increase in the frequency or severity of claims and premium defaults or both, which, in turn, could affect our growth and profitability.”
Removed heading “Ambac is planning to further develop and expand its Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance and Insurance Distribution businesses; however, such plans may not be realized, or if realized, may not create value and may negatively impact our financial results.”
Removed heading “Risks Related to the Sale of AAC”
Removed heading “The sale of the common stock of Ambac Assurance Corporation may not be completed as anticipated, or at all.”
Removed heading “The AAC Sale and the other transactions contemplated by the Purchase Agreement, whether or not completed, may adversely affect the retained business.”
Removed heading “If we fail to complete the AAC Sale and the other transactions contemplated by the Purchase Agreement, our business and financial performance may be adversely affected, including in the event Ambac is required to pay the Termination Fee.”
Removed heading “If the AAC Sale is not approved by AAC’s and Ambac UK’s regulators or if we fail to complete the AAC Sale for any other reason, there may not be any other offer from a potential acquiror that the AFG Board determines to be attractive.”
Removed heading “Loss reserves may not be adequate to cover potential losses, including losses caused by catastrophic events, and changes in loss reserves may result in further volatility of net income and comprehensive income.”
Removed heading “Risks Related to the Discontinued Operations”
Removed heading “AFG may not be able to realize value from AAC in the absence of a sale of AAC.”
Removed heading “AAC and Ambac UK are subject to credit and other risks in their insured portfolios; we are also subject to risks associated with adverse selection as our insured LFG portfolios run off.”
Removed heading “Loss reserves may not be adequate to cover potential losses, including losses caused by catastrophic events, and changes in loss reserves may result in further volatility of net income and comprehensive income.”
Removed heading “We may not be able to effectively reduce LFG insured exposures; measures taken to reduce risks may have an adverse effect on the Company's operating results or financial position.”
Removed heading “Our risk management policies and practices may not adequately identify significant risks.”
Removed heading “We are subject to the risk of litigation and the outcome of proceedings we are or may become involved in could have a material adverse effect on our results from discontinued operations and our financial position.”
Removed heading “The Settlement Agreement, Stipulation and Order and OCI's Runoff Capital Framework may impair AAC's ability to pursue its business strategies.”
Removed heading “Political developments may materially adversely affect our business.”
Removed heading “Actions of the PRA and FCA could reduce the value of Ambac UK realizable by AAC, which would adversely affect our securityholders.”
Removed heading “AAC has substantial indebtedness, which could adversely affect its financial condition, operational flexibility and our ability to obtain financing in the future.”
Removed heading “Revenues and cash flow will be adversely impacted by a decline in realization of installment premiums.”
Removed heading “Changes in prevailing interest rate levels and market conditions could adversely impact LFG's business results and prospects.”
Removed heading “Our inability to realize the expected recoveries included in our financial statements could adversely impact our liquidity, financial condition and results of operations and the value of our securities.”
Removed heading “The composition of the securities in our investment portfolio may expose us to greater risk than before we invested in alternative assets.”
Largest changes
“Adverse economic factors, including recession, inflation, periods of high unemployment or lower economic activity could result in the sale of fewer policies than expected or an increase in the frequency or severity of claims and premium defaults or both, which, in turn, could affect our growth and profitability.”see in full comparison
“Issuers of public finance obligations insured by AAC have reported, or may report, budget shortfalls, significantly underfunded pensions or other fiscal stresses that imperil their ability to pay debt service or will require them to significantly raise taxes and/or cut spending in order to satisfy their obligations. …”see in full comparison
“Increases in prevailing interest rate levels can adversely affect the value of our investment portfolio and, therefore, our financial strength. In the event that investments must be sold in order to pay claims, to pay debt obligations, to meet collateral posting requirements or to meet other liquidity needs, such investments would likely be sold at discounted prices. Additionally, increasing interest rates would have an adverse impact on the legacy financial guarantee insured portfolio. …”see in full comparison
“The market for insurance underwriting talent and MGA/MGU leadership talent has become increasingly competitive. If we are not able to attract and/or retain such talent to launch and maintain de novo MGA/MGUs, our ability to grow may be materially constrained and the intangible and goodwill assets we recorded in connection with the acquisition of Octave Ventures may become impaired. Any such impairment could be materially adverse to our results of operations and financial condition. …”see in full comparison
“The Purchase Agreement may be terminated by Buyer by written notice to AFG if a breach of any representation or warranty or failure to perform any covenant or agreement shall have occurred that would cause certain conditions not to be satisfied, and such breach is not cured within sixty (60) days of written notice to AFG or is incapable of being cured by the End Date. Additionally, the Purchase Agreement may be terminated by Buyer if at any time the AFG Board of Directors effects an Ambac Board Recommendation Change (as defined in the Purchase Agreement).”see in full comparison
“LFG loss reserves are established when management has observed credit deterioration in its insured credits. Loss reserves established with respect to our LFG insurance policies issued to beneficiaries are based upon estimates and judgments by management, including estimates and judgments with respect to the probability of default; the severity of loss upon default; management’s ability to execute policy commutations, restructurings and other loss mitigation strategies; and estimated subrogation and other loss recoveries. …”see in full comparison
Full comparison: every changed paragraph (170)
Risks Related to AFGOSG Common Shares
The price per share of AFG'sOSG's common stock may be subject to a high degree of volatility, including significant price declines.
Although AFG'sOSG's common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE"), there can be no assurance as to the liquidity of the trading market or the price at which such shares can be sold. The price of the shares may decline substantially in response to a number of events or circumstances, including but not limited to:
•changes in the actual or perceived risk within our insured portfolio;
•market perceptions of our success, or lack thereof, in pursuingbuilding and implementingmanaging our Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance and Insurance DistributionID businesses and our new business strategy and tactics more generally;
•perceptions regarding management guidance or forecast and changes to such guidance or forecasts;
•the impact or perceived impact of any acquisition, dispositionsdisposition or other strategic transactions,transaction, including entry into a new line of business,business onor the value or long-term prospects of the Company;
•failure to receive regulatory approval for the sale of our Legacy Financial Guarantee ("LFG") business, or failure to complete the sale of our LFG business for any other reason;
•adverse developments in current or future litigationslitigation; and
The price of AFG'sOSG's shares may also be affected by the risks described below. Investments in AFG'sOSG's common stock may be subject to a high degree of volatility.
Ambac is planning to further develop and expand its Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance and Insurance Distribution businesses; however, such plans may not be realized, or if realized, may not create value and may negatively impact our financial results.
Ambac is planning to further develop and expand its Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance and Insurance Distribution businesses. Such plans may involve additional acquisitions of assets or existing businesses and the development of businesses through new or existing subsidiaries. Currently, it is not possible to fully predict the future prospects or other characteristics of such businesses. We may not be able to successfully identify opportunities, attract specialized underwriting and other talent, and operationalize new Insurance Distribution businesses in a timely or cost-efficient manner. While we expect to conduct business, financial and legal due diligence in connection with the evaluation of any future business or acquisition opportunities, there can be no assurance our due diligence will identify every matter that could have a material adverse effect on us. Efforts to pursue certain business opportunities may be unsuccessful or require significant financial or other resources, which could have a negative impact on our growth plans, operating results and financial condition. To implement our growth strategy, we must be able to meet our capital needs, expand our systems and our internal controls effectively, allocate our human resources optimally, identify and hire qualified employees and effectively integrate any acquisitions we make in our effort to achieve growth. No assurance can be given that Ambac will successfully execute its plans for new business, generate any earnings or value from new businesses or be able to successfully integrate any such business into our current operating structure. The failure to manage our growth effectively could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Our ability to successfully manage ongoing organizational changes could impact our business results, where the level of costs and/or disruption may be significant and change over time, and the benefits may be less than we originally expect.
Should changes in Ambac’s circumstances or financial condition or in the political, economic and/or legal environment occur, there can be no assurance that all or any part of our strategy and/or initiatives will not be abandoned or amended to take account of such changes. Any such adjustment or abandonment may have a material adverse effect on our securities.
Risks Related to the Sale of AAC
The sale of the common stock of Ambac Assurance Corporation may not be completed as anticipated, or at all.
The closing of the AAC Sale is conditioned on, among other things, the receipt of specified regulatory approvals.
In addition, the purchase agreement relating to the AAC Sale (the "Purchase Agreement") provides for certain termination rights. Buyer and AFG may terminate the Purchase Agreement by mutual written agreement at any time prior to the closing date. In addition, either Buyer or AFG may terminate the Purchase Agreement at any time prior to the closing by giving written notice to the other party if
•the closing has not been consummated on or before April 4, 2025 (the "End Date"); provided, however, that if the closing has not occurred solely due to the failure to obtain applicable governmental and regulatory approvals from the authorities including, but not limited to, the OCI, the End Date will be automatically extended for an additional ninety (90) days and the parties agree to continue to use their respective reasonable best efforts to satisfy such conditions to closing; provided, further, that the right to terminate the Purchase Agreement for the foregoing is not available to any party whose breach of any provision of the Purchase Agreement results in the failure of the closing to be consummated; or
•(i) applicable law makes the consummation of the closing illegal or otherwise prohibited or (ii) any judgment, injunction, order or decree of any governmental authority enjoins Buyer and AFG from consummating the closing.
The Purchase Agreement may be terminated by Buyer by written notice to AFG if a breach of any representation or warranty or failure to perform any covenant or agreement shall have occurred that would cause certain conditions not to be satisfied, and such breach is not cured within sixty (60) days of written notice to AFG or is incapable of being cured by the End Date. Additionally, the Purchase Agreement may be terminated by Buyer if at any time the AFG Board of Directors effects an Ambac Board Recommendation Change (as defined in the Purchase Agreement).
The Purchase Agreement may be terminated by AFG by written notice if a breach of any representation or warranty or failure to perform any covenant or agreement shall have occurred that would cause certain conditions not to be satisfied, and such breach is not cured within sixty (60) days of written notice to Buyer or is incapable of being cured by the End Date.
The total proceeds realized from the AAC Sale are contingent upon satisfaction of various closing conditions. There can be no assurance that the conditions will be satisfied. Any delay in satisfying the closing conditions may increase the risk that the AAC Sale will be terminated, or reduce the benefits we expect to achieve.
The AAC Sale and the other transactions contemplated by the Purchase Agreement, whether or not completed, may adversely affect the retained business.
Transactions such as the AAC Sale are often subject to lawsuits by stockholders. It is possible that certain common stockholders or other stakeholders will commence or seek to commence litigation against Ambac or the Ambac Board. Such litigation could result in substantial costs and divert management’s attention from other business concerns, which could adversely affect Ambac's specialty property and casualty insurance and its insurance distribution businesses that Ambac will continue to operate following the completion of the AAC Sale (the "Retained Business").
As a result of the AAC Sale, we may experience higher employee turnover and finding qualified replacements may be more difficult. The loss of the services of members of our executive and/or senior management teams or our inability to hire and retain other talented personnel could delay or prevent us from succeeding in executing our strategies, which could negatively impact the Retained Business. Further, while the completion of the AAC Sale is pending, we may be unable to attract and retain key personnel and our management’s focus and attention and employee resources may be diverted from operational matters.
If we fail to complete the AAC Sale and the other transactions contemplated by the Purchase Agreement, our business and financial performance may be adversely affected, including in the event Ambac is required to pay the Termination Fee.
The completion of the AAC Sale and the other transactions contemplated by the Purchase Agreement is subject to the satisfaction or waiver of various conditions, which may not be satisfied in a timely manner or at all.
If the AAC Sale is not completed, we will not recoup the costs incurred in connection with negotiating the AAC Sale and the other transactions. Our directors, executive officers and other employees will have expended extensive time and effort and will have experienced significant distractions from their work during the pendency of the AAC Sale, and we will have incurred significant third-party transaction costs, in each case, without any commensurate benefit, which may have a material and adverse effect on our stock price and results of operations.
Furthermore, if the AAC Sale and the other transactions contemplated by the Purchase Agreement are not completed, the announcement of the termination of the Purchase Agreement may adversely affect our relationships with our customers, business partners and employees, which could have a material adverse impact on our ability to effectively operate our business, and we may be required to pay the Termination Fee of $22,000 under certain circumstances, each of which could have further adverse effects on our business, results of operations and the trading price of AFG's common stock.
Additionally, we intend to use the proceeds of the AAC Sale to repay all or a portion of the debt used to fund the acquisition of 60% of the share capital of Beat Capital Partners Limited. If we do not consummate the AAC Sale then we will need to repay or refinance such debt with other sources of funds, which may not be available on favorable terms or at all. An inability to repay the debt used to fund the acquisition of Beat from proceeds of the AAC Sale or other sources, or an inability to refinance such debt on favorable terms or at all, may materially negatively affect our business and results of operations.
If the AAC Sale is not approved by AAC’s and Ambac UK’s regulators or if we fail to complete the AAC Sale for any other reason, there may not be any other offer from a potential acquiror that the AFG Board determines to be attractive.
If we fail to complete the AAC Sale, the Board of Directors of AFG, in discharging its fiduciary obligations to our stockholders, may evaluate other strategic alternatives including, but not limited to, continuing to operate AAC and the Legacy Financial Guarantee Insurance business for the foreseeable future or an alternative transaction relating to AAC or Ambac. An alternative transaction, if available, may yield lower consideration or value than the proposed AAC Sale, be on less favorable terms and conditions than those contained in the Purchase Agreement and involve significant delay. Any future sale of substantially all of Ambac’s property and assets within the meaning of Section 271 of the Delaware General Corporation Law and related case law or other similar transaction may be subject to stockholder approval, and there is no guarantee that Ambac would be able to obtain such stockholder approval in favor of any such sale or other transaction. If the Legacy Financial Guarantee Insurance business is not sold, there can be no assurance that we will realize value at least equivalent to the proceeds of the AAC Sale from the operation of the Legacy Financial Guarantee Insurance business over time, or any value; nor can we predict the timeline for realizing value, if any, from the Legacy Financial Guarantee Insurance business in the absence of the AAC Sale.
Our business depends on contractual and working relationships with insurance distribution partners, insurance carriers, reinsurers, policy holderspolicyholders and beneficiaries, third party administrators, and other agents and counterparties. We could suffer material financial loss, reputational harm and/or a loss of business prospects if a business partner, agent or counterparty engages in negligent or fraudulent conduct, whether directly in our relationship with them or indirectly as a result of their conduct in other business relationships.
AmbacOctave may be adversely impacted by P&C industry market cycles.
Ambac’s P&COctave’s businesses are subject to market cycles. Premium pricing in the commercial property and casualty insurance markets has been historically based on underwriting capacity of insurance carriers, general economic conditions, inflation, and other factors. In recent years, we have been in a “hard” market whereby carriers and capacity/capital providers have been raising rates. However, we have observed that in certain lines of business pricing has begun to decrease, while in others, the rate of pricing increase has slowedbegun orto slow as competition has begun to decrease.increase. If carriers and capacity/capital providers lower premium rates more broadly this would be referred to as a “softening” or “soft” market. Given that AmbacOctave generates revenue from both insurance premiums and commissions that are based on insurance premiums, our revenues are affected by the cyclicality of the markets in which we operate. If we enter a soft market, absent mitigating factors, we may experience a reduction in revenues and profits.
Catastrophic events may cause volatility of net income and comprehensive income primarily through changes to loss reserves, which may not be adequate to cover potential losses, and declines in revenues. Revenue may be adversely impacted by reduced business activity and lower sliding scale and profit commissions.
Loss reserves may not be adequate to cover potential losses, including losses caused by catastrophic events, and changes in loss reserves may result in further volatility of net income and comprehensive income.
The objective of establishing loss reserve estimates is not to, and our loss reserves do not, reflect worst possible outcomes. As a result of inherent uncertainties in the estimates and judgments made to determine loss reserves, there can be no assurance that either actual losses will not exceed such reserves or that our reserves will not materially change over time as circumstances, events, our assumptions, or our models change.
Catastrophic events, whether natural or man-made, including natural disasters and environmental and public health events that result in material disruption of economic activity, loss of human life or significant property damage, can have a materially negative impact on our financial and operational performance. Such stresses could result in liquidity strains or permanent losses.
Public health crises and/or natural disasters can cause economic and financial disruptions that may adversely affect, our business and results of operations.
Changing weather patterns have added to the unpredictability, frequency and severity of weather-related catastrophes incurred by the property and casualty insurance industry in recent years. These changing weather patterns make it more difficult to predict and model catastrophic events, reducing our ability to accurately price exposure to such events and mitigate its risks.
Catastrophic events may cause significant volatility in the markets in which we operate in addition to the global financial markets.operate. Disruptions to these markets could result in a decline in business activity, increased claims, reduced underwriting capacity from insurance companies, reinsurers and other capital providers upon which our P&C businesses are reliant. Catastrophic events may also interrupt the operations of our agents and business partners that distribute our P&C insurance products. Profit commissions and contingent commissions related to certain of our P&C business lines may also be adversely impacted myby catastrophic losses. Individually and/or collectively, these results may have a material adverse impact on our results of operations and financial condition.
Further, we use internally developed and third-party vendor tools and models to assess exposure to losses, including catastrophic losses. The models assume various conditions and probability scenarios and may not accurately predict future losses or lossmeasure development.losses currently incurred. Limitations in these tools and models may adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.
We could realize losses from our cash and investment accounts if one of the financial institutions we use fail or is taken over by regulatorsregulators.
We maintain cash and investment accounts, including premium trust accounts, at depository institutions in amounts in excess of the limits insured by the FDIC and in countries other than the U.S.FDIC. If one or more of these institutions were to fail or be taken over by their respectivefederal regulators, our access to these funds could be limited and we could experience liquidity problems and potential financial losses. Ambac's cash balances held at banks was $36,190 thousand as of December 31, 2024, including cash of Ambac's insurance distribution subsidiaries held in regional banks of $35,552 thousand as of December 31, 2024.
WeAs described in Part I, Item 1, “Risk Management” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, we have established risk management policies and practices which seek to mitigate losses within our insuranceexposure programs.to a variety of risks. These policies and practices in the past have not insulated us from risks that were unforeseen and/or which had unanticipated loss severity, and such policies and practices may not do so in the future. There can be no assurance that these policies and practices will be adequate to avoid future unexpected losses or adverse development within our existing loss reserves.losses. If we are not able to identify significant risks, we may not be able to timely mitigate such risks, thereby increasing the amount of losses to which we are exposed. An inability to identify significant risks could also result in the failure to timely establish loss reserves that are sufficient in relation to such risks.
Please refer to Note 19. Commitments and Contingencies of the Unaudited Consolidated Financial Statements located in Part I, Item 1 in this Form 10-Q and Note 19: Commitments and Contingencies in Part II, Item 8 in this Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, for a discussion on legal proceedings against Octave and its subsidiaries.
In the normal course of business, we are subject to regulatory and governmental investigations and civic actions, litigation and other forms of disputes in various domestic and foreign jurisdictions. It is not possible to predict the extent to which suitslitigation involvingagainst AFGOSG or one or more other subsidiaries will be filed, and it is also not possible to predict the outcome of litigation. It is possible that there could be unfavorable outcomes in existing or future proceedings. Management may be unable to make meaningful or reasonable estimates of the amount or range of losses that could result from unfavorable outcomes or of the expenses that will be incurred in connection with such lawsuits. Under some circumstances, adverse results in any such proceedings and/or the incurring of significant litigation or other expenses could be material to our business, operations, financial position, profitability or cash flows.
Everspan may be subject to disputes with policyholders regarding the scope and extent of coverage offered under Everspan's policies; be required to defend claimants in suits against its policyholders for covered liability claims; face allegations of improper claims handling; or enter into commercial disputes with its reinsurers, MGA/Us or TPAs regarding their respective contractual obligations and rights. Under some circumstances, the results of such disputes or suits may lead to liabilities beyond those which are anticipated or reserved, including extra-contractual liabilities or liabilities in excess of policy limits.
PoliticalRegulatory developments may materially adversely affect our business.
Our insurance businesses and our results of operations can be materially affected by political developments at the federal, state, local or foreign government levels. Government shutdowns, trade disputes, political turnover, judicial decisions, adverse changes in governmental funding, or poor public policy decision making could disrupt the national, international and local economies where we operate and/or have insured exposures. Risks include adverse changes in rules, regulations, compliance requirements, employment practices, taxes, business services and currencies.
We operate in in a highly regulated industry and our business will be negatively affected if we are not able to anticipate and keep pace with rapid changes in government laws and regulations or if government laws and regulations impair our business or increase our costs.
Our U.S. Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance subsidiaries are highly regulated as insurance carriers in the States of their domicile and the jurisdictions in which they are licensed. Our owned MGA/Us and insurance brokerage subsidiaries are also required to maintain certain entity-level licenses in those jurisdictions and/or the international countries in which they operate, as well as licenses of individual officers or representatives that are essential to their ability to conduct business. Each of the foregoing must also comply with laws generally applicable to insurance entities, including those relating to governance, capital, and operational requirements.
Government laws and regulations applicable to our businesses develop and change rapidly in response to consumer demands and public policies. State legislatures and insurance departments place increasing burdens on insurance carriers and producers with respect to matters such as cybersecurity, data privacy, artificial intelligence, management of technology, corporate governance, environmental and social issues, and enterprise risk management. Such laws and regulations require substantial resources to ensure that the Company has appropriate and effective compliance programs in place. If we are unable to keep pace with changes in applicable law and regulations, or if we otherwise fail in our compliance efforts, the Company may be subject to fines, sanctions, governmental orders or modifications to business practices that individually or collectively impair our business or increase our costs, possibly materially.
In addition, the Company from time to time receives regulatory inquiries and requests for information, and its insurance carrier subsidiaries are subject to examination by regulatory authorities. It is not possible to predict the extent to which additional regulatory inquiries or requests for information will be made, nor the outcome of inquiries, requests for information or examination, which exposes the Company to potential fines, sanctions, governmental orders or modifications to business practices that individually or collectively impair our business or increase our costs, possibly materially.
Our insurance subsidiaries are subject to minimum capital and surplus requirements, and our failure to meet these requirements could subject us to regulatory action.
Our insurance subsidiaries are subject to risk-based capital standards and other minimum capital and surplus requirements imposed under applicable state laws. The risk-based capital standards, based upon the Risk-Based Capital Model Act adopted by the NAIC, require our insurance subsidiaries to report the results of risk-based capital calculations to state regulators and the NAIC. These risk-based capital standards provide for different levels of regulatory attention depending upon the ratio of an insurance company’s total adjusted capital, as calculated in accordance with NAIC guidelines, to its authorized control level risk-based capital. Authorized control level risk-based capital is determined using the NAIC’s risk-based capital formula, which measures the minimum amount of capital that an insurance company needs to support its overall business operations.
An insurance company with total adjusted capital that is less than 200% of its authorized control level risk-based capital is at a company action level, which would require the insurance company to file a risk-based capital plan that, among other things, contains proposals of corrective actions the company intends to take that are reasonably expected to result in the elimination of the company action level event. As of December 31, 2025, our insurance subsidiaries each maintained a risk-based capital ratio of over 700% and complied with the requirement of our state regulators.
In addition, our insurance subsidiaries are required to maintain certain minimum capital and surplus and to limit their written premiums to specified multiples of its capital and surplus. Our insurance subsidiaries could exceed these ratios if their volume increases faster than anticipated or if their surplus declines due to catastrophe or non-catastrophe losses or excessive underwriting and operational expenses.
Management's Discussion & Analysis (MD&A)
New heading “Acquisition of ArmadaCorp”
New heading “GOODWILL AND INTANGIBLE IMPAIRMENT ANALYSIS”
New heading “Cash Held at Banks”
New heading “Redeemable Noncontrolling Interest (NCI):”
Removed heading “Purchase of Beat Capital Partners”
Removed heading “SEC Final Rules on Climate Related Information”
Removed heading “Valuation of Legacy Financial Guarantee Losses and Loss Expense Reserves (including Subrogation Recoverables)”
Removed heading “Variability of Expected Losses and Recoveries”
Removed heading “Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA Margin”
Removed heading “Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted Net Income Margin”
Largest changes
“The evaluation process for expected future net cash flows is subject to estimates and judgments regarding the probability of default by the issuer of the insured security, the probability of negotiation or settlement outcomes (which may include commutation, litigation and other settlements, and/or a refinancing), the probability of restructuring outcomes (which may include payment moratoriums, debt haircuts and/or subsequent recoveries) and the expected loss severity of credits for each insurance contract.”see in full comparison
“GOODWILL AND INTANGIBLE IMPAIRMENT ANALYSIS”see in full comparison
“As the probability of default for an individual credit increases and/or the severity of loss given a default increases, our loss reserve for that insured obligation will also increase. Political, economic, environmental, credit or other unforeseen events could have an adverse impact on default probabilities and loss severities. The loss reserves for many transactions are derived from the issuer’s creditworthiness. For public finance issuers, loss reserves will consider not only creditworthiness, but also political dynamics and economic status and prospects. …”see in full comparison
“•In some cases, such as RMBS and student loans, cash flow projections include the modeling of a securitization's cash flows to determine the resources available to pay debt service on our insured obligations. During 2023, Ambac revised the model it uses to project RMBS collateral losses considering the seasoning of our RMBS exposure and management’s view that the most relevant determinant of prospective collateral performance is borrower payment status (e.g., loan status being current, delinquent, foreclosure, REO, etc.). …”see in full comparison
“We perform the impairment assessment of goodwill at the reporting unit level within our ID segment on an annual basis or more frequently if circumstances indicate a possible impairment. We have determined that each of the entities acquired in the ID segment represent an individual reporting unit. The impairment test may first consider qualitative factors to determine whether it is more likely than not that the fair value of a reporting unit is less than its carrying amount. …”see in full comparison
“We perform the impairment assessment of goodwill at the reporting unit level within our Insurance Distribution segment on an annual basis or more frequently if circumstances indicate a possible impairment. The impairment test may first consider qualitative factors to determine whether it is more likely than not that the fair value of a reporting unit is less than its carrying amount. …”see in full comparison
Full comparison: every changed paragraph (211)
Unless otherwise noted, this Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations relates solely to our continuing operations and does not include the operations of our Legacy Financial Guarantee business. See "Sale of AAC" below and Note 5. Discontinued Operations of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements under Part II, Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K for additional information about the divestiture of the Legacy Financial Guarantee business.business in September 2025.
•ExpandingGrowing and expanding our Insurance Distribution business based on deep domain knowledge in specialty and niche classes of risk which generate attractive margins at scale. This will be achieved through acquisitions, strategic investments, establishing new businesses “de-novo,” and organic growth and diversificationdiversification, and select acquisitions supported by a centralized technology ledtechnology-led shared services offering;
•Growing our Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance business to generate underwriting profits from a diversified portfolio of commercial and personal liability risks accessed primarily through affiliated and non-affiliated program administrators. In addition, we may seek strategic relationships and/or partnerships with unaffiliated parties in order to expand our product offerings, access to reinsurance capacity and other business or operational advantages.
On September 29, 2025, the Company completed the sale of AAC pursuant to the June 4, 2024, AFG entered into a2024 stock purchase agreement (the "Purchase Agreement") with American Acorn Corporation (the “Buyer”), a Delaware corporation owned by funds managed by Oaktree Capital Management, L.P., pursuant to which andOSG subject to the conditions set forth therein, AFG will sellsold all of the issued and outstanding shares of common stock of AAC, a wholly-owned subsidiary of AFG,OSG, to Buyer for aggregate consideration of $420$420,000 in cash (the "AAC Sale"). The termsBuyer also made an additional payment to OSG in an amount of the$4,300. AAC Sale as contemplated byIn the stock purchase agreement provide that, at the closing of the AAC Sale (the “Closing”),Sale, Buyer will acquireacquired complete common equity ownership of AAC and all of its wholly owned subsidiaries, including Ambac UK.Assurance UK Limited. In connection with and pursuant to the stockPurchase purchaseAgreement, agreement,OSG AFG has agreed to issueissued to Buyer a warrant exercisable for a number of5,092,707 shares of common stock, par value $0.01, of AFGOSG. representingRefer 9.9%to Note 5. Discontinued Operations of the fullyNotes dilutedto sharesthe Consolidated Financial Statements under Part II, Item 8 in this Annual Report on Form 10-K for further details on the sale of AFG’s common stock as of March 31, 2024, pro forma for the issuance of the warrant. The warrant will have an exercise price per share of $18.50 with a six and a half-year term from the date of issuance and will be immediately exercisable. Concurrent with the sale, AFG will purchase AAC's co-investment in the holding company established to purchase Beat, for an amount equal to AAC's $62,000 investment plus 7.5% per annum thereon.AAC.
For all periods leading up to the Sale, AAC's results of operations and OSG's loss on sale are reported within Net income (loss) from discontinued operations before tax on the Consolidated Statement of Comprehensive Income (Loss). See Note 5. Discontinued Operations of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements under Part II, Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K for additional information.
Acquisition of ArmadaCorp
On October 31, 2025, the Company closed on the acquisition of ArmadaCorp for a purchase price of $250,000. The Company purchased all of the issued and outstanding limited liability company interests in ArmadaCorp from Sirius Re Holdings, Inc. and Sirius Acquisitions Holding Company, funded in part by $120,000 of loans obtained under new credit facilities. Refer to Note 4. Business Combination in Part II, Item 8 in this Annual Report on Form 10-K for further details on the acquisition of ArmadaCorp.
ArmadaCorp includes an MGA/U that focuses on supplemental health and benefit products for C-suite executives and other key talent. ArmadaCorp creates and distributes supplemental benefit solutions and insurance products. ArmadaCorp's differentiated product offering in the A&H market provides both line of business and product diversification to the Company, while also increasing exposure to non-correlated A&H business lines. ArmadaCorp also provides clients with tools to navigate the healthcare system, including services that help match individuals with physicians suited to their personal needs, and maintains a provider of third-party administration services for insurance carriers that distribute the benefit products and handle claims.
Pivix
Effective September 1, 2025, OSG's wholly owned subsidiary, Octave Partners, LLC exercised its option to convert its $3,500 convertible note investment in Pivix, an excess and surplus lines MGA/U, into common stock. As a result, Octave Partners now owns approximately 74% of Pivix, when combined with its previous 17% minority equity interest, and includes Pivix in its consolidated financial statements.
Management has determined that the pending sale of AAC and its wholly-owned subsidiaries meets the criteria to be disclosed as discontinued operations beginning in the fourth quarter of 2024. The loss on disposal recognized in the fourth quarter of 2024 was $570,145. Refer to Note 5. Discontinued Operations for additional information about the sale of AAC.
Purchase of Beat Capital Partners
On June 4, 2024, AFG entered into a share purchase agreement (the “Beat Purchase Agreement”), by and among AFG, Cirrata V LLC, a Delaware limited liability company and an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of AFG (the “Purchaser”), certain sellers set forth therein (the “Sellers”) and Beat, pursuant to which the Purchaser purchased from the Sellers approximately 60% of the entire issued share capital of Beat, for total consideration, as of the closing date, of approximately $281,493, of which approximately $252,264 was paid in cash and the remainder of which was satisfied through the issuance of 2,216,023 shares of AFG common stock. The acquisition closed with an effective date of July 31, 2024. Beat’s management team and Bain Capital Credit LP (together, the “Rollover Shareholders”) each retained approximately 20% of Beat’s issued share capital immediately after closing. Refer to Note 4. Business Combination for further details on the acquisition of Beat.
On January 12, 2024, Everspan Insurance Company entered into a Stock Purchase Agreement with Hagerty Insurance Holdings, Inc., to sell its ownership interests in Consolidated National Insurance Company ("CNIC"), which was one of Everspan's admitted carriers. The closing of this transaction occurred on September 1, 2024, resulting in a gain of approximately $7,504. The sale of CNIC willhas not havehad any adverse impact on the group's operations or growth prospects.
SEC Final Rules on Climate Related Information
On March 6, 2024, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) adopted The Enhancement and Standardization of Climate-Related Disclosures for Investors ("Final Rule"), which will require registrants to disclose extensive climate-related information in their Form 10-K annual reports and registration statements. The Final Rule was scheduled to become effective May 28, 2024; however, the SEC has voluntarily stayed the rule’s effective date pending judicial review of legal challenges.
The compliance dates for accelerated filers for annual reports or registration statements that include financial statements for the year ending December 31 are phased in from 2026 through 2031. Depending on when the legal challenges are resolved, the compliance dates may be retained or delayed.
Ambac is reviewing the Final Rule and is currently assessing our related compliance obligations and other effects on our operations.
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND ESTIMATES ($ in thousands)
Ambac'sOctave's Consolidated Financial Statements have been prepared in accordance with GAAP.accounting principles generally accepted in the U.S. ("GAAP"). This section highlights accounting estimates management views as critical because they are most important to the portrayal of the Company's financial condition; and require management to make difficult and subjective judgments regarding matters that are inherently uncertain and subject to change. These estimates are evaluated on an on-goingongoing basis considering historical developments, political events, market conditions, industry trends and other information. There can be no assurance that actual results will conform to estimates and that reported results of operations will not be materially adversely affected by the need to make future accounting adjustments to reflect changes in these estimates from time to time.
Management has identified the following critical accounting policies and estimates: (i) valuation of specialty property and casualty losses and loss adjustment expense reserves, (ii) valuation of financial guarantee loss and loss adjustment expense reserves, and (iii) business combinations including identification and valuation of intangible assets.assets, and (iii) goodwill and intangible asset impairment analysis. Management has discussed each of these critical accounting policies and estimates with the Audit Committee, including the reasons why they are considered critical and how current and anticipated future events impact those determinations. Additional information about these policies can be found in Note 2. Basis of Presentation and Significant Accounting Policies to the Consolidated Financial Statements included in Part II, Item 8 in this Form 10-K.
ValuationSPECIALTY ofPROPERTY SpecialtyAND PropertyCASUALTY andLOSSES CasualtyAND LossesLOSS andEXPENSE Loss Expense ReservesRESERVES
The specialty property and casualty insurance segment consistconsists of Everspan-affiliated carriers. Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves represent management's estimate of the ultimate liability for unpaid losses and loss expenses for claims that have been reported and claims that have been incurred,incurred but not yet reported ("IBNR") as of the balance sheet date.
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves by line of business were as follows as of December 31, 20242025 and December 31, 20232024:
(2) Includes $35,146$23,530 and $0 total loss and loss expense reserves on a gross and net of reinsurance basis related to legacy liabilities obtained from the acquisitions of Providence Washington Insurance Company, Greenwood Insurance CompanyCompany, and Consolidated Specialty Insurance Company. All legacy liabilities remain obligations of affiliates of the sellers through reinsurance and contractual indemnities.
(2) Includes $43,751$35,146 and $0 total loss and loss expense reserves on a gross and net of reinsurance basis related to legacy liabilities obtained from the acquisitions of Providence Washington Insurance Company, Greenwood Insurance Company, Consolidated National Insurance Company and Consolidated Specialty Insurance Company. All legacy liabilities remain obligations of affiliates of the sellers through reinsurance and contractual indemnities.
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves, evaluated at a program and line of business level, are estimated based upon experience and using a variety of actuarial methods and are subject to the impact of future changes in factors such as claim severity and frequency, underwriting and claims practices, changes in social and economic conditionsconditions, including the impact of inflation, legal and judicial developments, medical cost trends and upward trends in damage awards. The key assumptions used to arrive at the best estimate of loss reserves are the expected loss ratios and loss development factors representing reported and paid loss emergence patterns. Our actuarial methods may also rely on external data, such as industry loss ratios, loss development factors, or trend factors. The initial estimate for an accident year is generally based on an exposure-based method using the loss ratio projection method. The loss ratio projection method develops an initial estimate of ultimate claims and claim adjustment expenses for an accident year by multiplying earned premium for the accident year by a projected loss ratio. The projected loss ratio is determined by analyzing prior period experience, and adjusting for loss cost trends, rate level differences, a mix of business changes and industry loss ratios and other known or observed factors influencing the accident year relative to prior accident years.
•The case incurred development method is the same as the paid loss development method,method but is based on cumulative case-incurred losses rather than paid losses.
The actuarial results provide a range of estimated losses by program and line of business including a low, central and high estimate of losses and loss expenses. ManagementAt typicallyDecember selects31, 2025, management selected the respective midpoint loss ratio between the actuarialactuarially determined central and high estimate for itsactive activeand runoff programs and lines of business for each respective accident year when recording loss and loss adjustment expense reserves. BeginningIn Decemberthe 31,prior 2024,year, management decided to set loss reserves for programs that are in runoff atselected the high end of the respective actuarial lossrange ranges,for givenprograms in runoff, but due to (i) increased claims and actuarial oversight, (ii) further run-off of these programprograms canand experience(iii) greaterfurther evaluation of Everspan's aggregate reserve position it was determined to record both active and runoff programs at the midpoint loss volatilityratio thanbetween activethe programs.actuarial central and high estimate.
Since the reserves are based on estimates, the ultimate liability may be more or less than such reserves. Ambac'sOctave's actuarial evaluation at December 31, 20242025, provided a range of losses incurred. Losses at the low end of the range would be below our recorded gross and net loss expense reserves by approximately $33,400$49,900 and $6,900,$12,500, respectively at December 31, 2024,2025, and losses at the high end of the range would exceed our recorded gross and net loss and loss adjustment expense reserve by approximately $4,500$14,600 and $1,000,$2,200, respectivelyrespectively, at December 31, 2024.2025. This range reflects low and high reasonable reserve estimates determined after using judgment to adjust the methods, factors, and assumptions selected within the internal reserve review. This approach produces a range of reasonable reserve estimates but does not represent a distribution of all possible outcomes.
•For the loss development pattern we considered the impact of the reported incurred losses developing faster or slower than expected in our projections. For every 1.0% slower or faster the losses develop, we would expectedexpect our net indicated reserves to increase or decrease, respectively, by approximatelya 0.8%.range of 0.8% to 1.2%. If our reported loss development pattern was 5% slower, the net indicated reserves would be approximately 4%5% higher. If our reported loss development pattern was 5% faster, the net indicated reserves would be approximately 4%4.3% lower.
•For the expected losses we utilize industry benchmark loss ratios and internal pricing loss ratios applied to earned premium. For every 1.0% higher or lower the expected losses are, we would expectedexpect our net indicated reserves to increase or decrease by approximately 0.55%.0.6%. If our expected losses were 5% higher, the net indicated reserves would be approximately 3%3.2% higher. If our expected losses were 5% lower, the net indicated reserves would be approximately 3%3.2% lower.
Valuation of Legacy Financial Guarantee Losses and Loss Expense Reserves (including Subrogation Recoverables)
The legacy financial guarantee ("LFG") business includes the activities of AAC and its wholly owned subsidiaries, including Ambac UK, and are reported as discontinued operations in the Consolidated Financial Statements. Refer to Note 5. Discontinued Operations to the Consolidated Financial Statements, included in Part II, Item 8 in this Annual Report on Form 10-K for a discussion of the pending sale of these entities to the Buyer. As a result of the pending sale, the LFG loss and loss adjustment expense reserves and subrogation recoverable assets (collectively defined as "loss reserves") discussed in this section are reported within liabilities held-for-sale and assets-held-for sale, respectively, on the consolidated balance sheet.
A loss reserve is recorded on the balance sheet on a policy-by-policy basis at the present value ("PV") of expected net claim cash outflows or expected net recovery cash inflows, discounted at risk-free rates. The estimate for future net cash flows considers the likelihood of all possible outcomes that may occur from missed principal and/or interest payments on the insured obligation. This estimate also considers future recoveries related to contractual or subrogation-related cash flows.
The evaluation process for expected future net cash flows is subject to estimates and judgments regarding the probability of default by the issuer of the insured security, the probability of negotiation or settlement outcomes (which may include commutation, litigation and other settlements, and/or a refinancing), the probability of restructuring outcomes (which may include payment moratoriums, debt haircuts and/or subsequent recoveries) and the expected loss severity of credits for each insurance contract.
As the probability of default for an individual credit increases and/or the severity of loss given a default increases, our loss reserve for that insured obligation will also increase. Political, economic, environmental, credit or other unforeseen events could have an adverse impact on default probabilities and loss severities. The loss reserves for many transactions are derived from the issuer’s creditworthiness. For public finance issuers, loss reserves will consider not only creditworthiness, but also political dynamics and economic status and prospects. The loss reserves for transactions which have no direct issuer support, such as most structured finance exposures, including RMBS and student loan exposures, are derived from the default activity and the estimated loss given default of the underlying collateral supporting the transactions. In addition, many transactions have a combination of issuer/entity and collateral support. Loss reserves reflect our assessment of the transaction’s overall structure, support and expected performance. Loss reserve volatility will be a direct result of the credit performance of our insured portfolio, including the number, size, bond types and quality of credits included in our loss reserves; our ability to execute workout strategies and commutations; economic and market conditions; and management's judgments with regards to the current performance and future developments within the insured portfolio. The number and severity of credits included in our loss reserves depend to a large extent on transaction specific attributes, but will generally increase during periods of economic stress and decline during periods of economic prosperity. Reinsurance contracts may mitigate future loss reserve volatility. While Ambac currently has minimal exposure ceded to reinsurers on financial guarantee credits with loss reserves, the existing reinsurance contracts would reduce future volatility to the extent loss reserves are established on those risks ceded to reinsurers. Loss reserve volatility will also be materially impacted by changes in interest rates from period to period.
The table below indicates the gross par outstanding and gross loss reserves (including loss expenses) related to policies in Ambac’s Financial Guarantee loss and loss adjustment expense reserves at December 31, 2024 and 2023:
See Note 5. Discontinued Operation to the Consolidated Financial Statements, included in Part II, Item 8 in this Annual Report on Form 10-K for a description of the cash flow and statistical methodologies used to develop loss reserves. The majority of our large loss reserves utilize the cash flow method of reserving. Various cash flow scenarios are developed to represent the range of possible outcomes and resultant future claim payments and timing. Scenarios and probabilities of each are adjusted regularly to reflect changes in status, outlook and our analysis and views. Significant judgment is used to develop the cash flow assumptions and related probabilities, and there can be no certainty that the scenarios or probabilities will not deviate materially from ultimate outcomes.
•In some cases, such as RMBS and student loans, cash flow projections include the modeling of a securitization's cash flows to determine the resources available to pay debt service on our insured obligations. During 2023, Ambac revised the model it uses to project RMBS collateral losses considering the seasoning of our RMBS exposure and management’s view that the most relevant determinant of prospective collateral performance is borrower payment status (e.g., loan status being current, delinquent, foreclosure, REO, etc.). Key assumptions impacting student loan cash flow models include projected loan defaults, recoveries and interest rates. During 2023, we revised our approach to projecting future defaults to both reflect the student loan collateral's seasoning and generally stable performance.
•In other cases, such as many public finance exposures, we consider the issuer's overall ability and willingness to pay as it relates to the existing fiscal, economic, legal, restructuring and/or political framework relevant to a particular exposure or group of exposures. We then develop multiple scenarios where issuer debt service is paid, missed and/or haircut with claims paid then factor in any projected recovery amount (and potential variability of the recovery amount) and the timing thereof. There is no certainty our assumptions as to scenarios or probabilities will not be subject to material changes as developments occur.
•In estimating loss reserves, we may also incorporate scenarios which represent the potential outcome of remediation strategies. Remediation scenarios could include (i) a potential refinancing of the transaction by the issuer; (ii) the issuer’s ability to redeem outstanding securities at a discount, thereby increasing the structure’s ability to absorb future losses; and (iii) our ability to terminate, restructure or commute the policy in whole or in part. The remediation scenarios and the related probabilities of occurrence vary by policy depending on ongoing and expected discussions and negotiations with issuers and/or investors.
Variability of Expected Losses and Recoveries
Management believes loss reserves (present value of expected cash flows, net of recoveries) are adequate to cover future claim payments, but there can be no assurance that the ultimate liability will not be higher than such estimates.
While our LFG loss reserves reflect our judgment regarding issuers’ financial flexibility to adapt to adverse markets, they may not adequately capture sudden, unexpected or protracted uncertainty that adversely affects market conditions. Accordingly, it is possible that our estimated loss reserves, gross of reinsurance, for financial guarantee insurance policies could be understated. We have attempted to identify possible cash flows related to losses and recoveries using more stressful assumptions than the probability-weighted outcome recorded. The possible net cash flows consider the highest stress scenario that was utilized in the development of our probability-weighted expected loss at December 31, 2024, and assumes an inability to execute any commutation transactions with issuers and/or investors. Such stress scenarios are developed based on management’s view about all possible outcomes relating to losses and recoveries. In arriving at such view, management makes considerable judgments about the possibility of various future events. Although we do not believe it is possible to have stressed outcomes in all cases, it is possible that we could have stress case outcomes in some or even many cases. See “Risk Factors” in Part I, Item 1A in this Annual Report on Form 10-K for further discussion of the risks relating to future losses and recoveries that could result in more highly stressed outcomes.
The occurrence of these stressed outcomes individually or collectively would have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition and may result in materially adverse consequence for Ambac, including (without limitation) impairing the ability of AAC to honor its financial obligations, particularly its outstanding surplus note and preferred stock obligations; the initiation of rehabilitation proceedings against AAC; and a significant drop in the value of securities issued or insured by AAC. The possible increase in loss reserves for which we have an estimate of expected loss at December 31, 2024, could be approximately $265,000.
The acquired entities comprising the Insurance DistributionID segment primarily represent business combinations that were accounted for under the acquisition method of accounting. The acquisition method requires us to allocate the total consideration transferred for each acquisition to the assets acquired, liabilities assumed and noncontrolling interests ("NCI") interests based on their fair values as of the date of acquisition, including identifiable intangible assets. The allocation of the consideration utilizes significant estimates in determining the fair values of net assets acquired, which primarily consist of customer relationship intangible assets, but may include other finite-lived intangible assets including trade names or non-compete agreements. Measurement of the purchase balance sheet also requires valuation of redeemable NCI interests and nonredeemable NCI interests.interests when applicable.
The valuation method used to determine customer relationship intangible assets was the multi periodmulti-period excess earnings method "(MPEEM"), which quantifies the residual (or excess) cash flows generated by the intangible asset and discounts those cash flows to their present value. The significant assumptions used in determining the fair value of customer relationships include estimated revenue growth, customer attrition rates, operating margins, and discount rate. These estimates directly impact the amount of identified intangible assets recognized and the related amortization expense in future periods. As of December 31, 20242025 and 2023,2024, an aggregate of $333,562$463,785 and $47,289,$333,562, respectively, of acquired intangible assets, net of accumulated amortization, was recorded on the Consolidated Balance Sheets, of which $323,720$446,835 and $44,585,$323,720, respectively, represented customer relationships.
The valuation method used to determine the fair value of redeemable NCI interests and related put and call options was the Monte Carlo Simulation. The significant fair value assumptions used in the simulation include the exercise thresholds, EBITDA forecasts, discount rate and long-term growth rate. The valuation method to determine the fair value of nonredeemable NCI interests, which do not contain put or call options, was the discounted cash flow approach. The significant fair value assumptions used in the model include estimated long term revenue and expense forecasts and the discount rate.
GOODWILL AND INTANGIBLE IMPAIRMENT ANALYSIS
We perform the impairment assessment of goodwill at the reporting unit level within our ID segment on an annual basis or more frequently if circumstances indicate a possible impairment. We have determined that each of the entities acquired in the ID segment represent an individual reporting unit. The impairment test may first consider qualitative factors to determine whether it is more likely than not that the fair value of a reporting unit is less than its carrying amount. Examples of qualitative factors include, macroeconomic conditions, industry and market considerations, cost factors, overall financial performance, entity-specific events, events affecting reporting units and sustained changes in our stock price. If results of the qualitative assessment indicate a more likely than not determination or if we elect not to perform a qualitative assessment, a quantitative test is performed by comparing the estimated fair value using a weighted average of an income approach and market approach for each reporting unit to its carrying value. For the 2025 annual impairment evaluation, we elected to bypass the qualitative evaluation and perform quantitative tests on four reporting units containing $432,728 or 80% of the aggregate balance of goodwill as of December 31, 2025. For the remainder of our goodwill balance, including related to ArmadaCorp at year end, we performed a qualitative assessment. There was no goodwill impairment for any of the reporting units.
Under the quantitative assessment, the determination of fair value includes assumptions, which are considered Level 3 inputs, that are subject to risk and uncertainty. We consider different valuation approaches in the quantitative assessment. The income approach uses discounted cash flows which are dependent on subjective factors including the timing of future cash flows, the underlying margin projection assumptions, future growth rates and the discount rate. The market approach uses valuation multiples and is dependent on subjective factors including the determination of industry market multiples and EBITDA forecasts. These results are weighted to arrive at management's estimate of fair value for the reporting unit. Weight applied to each approach is based on the judgments about the extent that they reasonably reflect the value of the particular reporting unit that would be considered by a market participant. Additionally, to corroborate our estimated fair value, we perform a market capitalization reconciliation to determine if the implied control premium is reasonable.
For reporting units evaluated under the quantitative assessment, estimated fair values exceeded carrying values by between 1% and 19%. Market and income approaches were weighted 50% each, except for Octave Ventures where we applied 80% weight to the income approach, considering that the selected public companies used in the market approach do not adequately represent Octave Ventures's business as an MGA incubator under a Lloyds consortium structure. Fair values are particularly sensitive to the discount rate used in the income approach and the multiple used in the market approach. With no other changes to inputs or assumptions, a 1% increase in the discount rate would have produced an aggregate 11% reduction to the fair value of the tested reporting units. With no other changes to inputs or assumptions, a 20% decrease in the market multiples used would have produced an aggregate 4% reduction to the fair value of the tested reporting units. Changes to these or other assumptions or estimates in our fair value calculations or variances to any of the above subjective factors from what was expected, could impact our impairment analysis and result in a decline in fair value that may trigger future impairment charges.
We perform the impairment assessment of goodwill at the reporting unit level within our Insurance Distribution segment on an annual basis or more frequently if circumstances indicate a possible impairment. The impairment test may first consider qualitative factors to determine whether it is more likely than not that the fair value of a reporting unit is less than its carrying amount. Examples of qualitative factors include, macroeconomic conditions, industry and market considerations, cost factors, overall financial performance, entity-specific events, events affecting reporting units and sustained changes in our stock price. If results of the qualitative assessment indicate a more likely than not determination or if we elect not to perform a qualitative assessment, a quantitative test is performed by comparing the estimated fair value using an income approach or market approach for each reporting unit with its estimated carrying value. For the 2024 annual impairment evaluation, we performed a qualitative assessment for certain reporting units and for other reporting units we elected to bypass the qualitative evaluation and perform quantitative tests. There was no goodwill impairment for any of the reporting units.
Under the quantitative assessment, the determination of fair value includes assumptions, which are considered Level 3 inputs, that are subject to risk and uncertainty. We consider different valuation approaches in the quantitative assessment. The income approach uses discounted cash flows which are dependent on subjective factors including the timing of future cash flows, the underlying margin projection assumptions, future growth rates and the discount rate. The market approach uses valuation multiples and is dependent on subjective factors including the determination of industry market multiples and EBITDA forecasts. Additionally, to corroborate our estimated fair value, we perform a market capitalization reconciliation to determine if the implied control premium is reasonable. If our assumptions or estimates in our fair value calculations change or if any of the above subjective factors vary from what was expected, this may impact our impairment analysis and result in a decline in fair value that may trigger future impairment charges.
The following is a discussion and analysis of the Company’s financial condition and results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, including year-to-year comparisons between 2025 and 2024. Year-to-year comparisons between 2024 and 2023 have been omitted from this Form 10-K, but may be found in “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in Part II, Item 7 of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024.
The following discussion of results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2024, 2023 and 2022 should be read along with the financial statements included in this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Net loss from continuing operations for the years ended December 31, 2024, 20232025 and 2022,2024, was $58,921, $23,232$95,803 and $35,244,$58,921, respectively. The net loss variance in 20242025 compared to 20232024 was primarily driven by: (i) higher costs related to acquisitions and integrations of $26,821, (ii) higher restructuring costs of $7,600,$15,524, (iiiii) higher intangible amortization of $13,450 and$20,442, (iviii) higher interest expense on short-term debt of $9,379,$9,261, and (iv) lower foreign exchange gains of $6,717, partially offset by higherlower Everspanacquisition income,costs includingof the$19,213, $7,500investment gainimpairments of $3,416, gains on the sale of CNIC,subsidiaries of $7,504, and higher ID revenue due to acquisitions and continuing growth of Insurance Distributionthe business.
The net loss variance in 2023 compared to 2022 was primarily driven by higher net investment income of $8,655 and growth of both the Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance and Insurance Distribution businesses flowing from higher net premiums earned of $38,042 from Everspan and higher commission income of $20,586 from Insurance Distribution.
Ambac'sOctave's results for the year ended December 31, 20242025 compared to the year ended December 31, 2023, and for the year ended December 31, 2023 compared to the year ended December 31, 20222024, were impacted by the following:
What changed in the latest 10-Q
Risk Factors
You should carefully consider the risk factors set forth in the “Risk Factors” section, Item 1A to Part I in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, which is hereby incorporated by reference. These important factors may cause our actual results to differ materially from those indicated by our forward-looking statements, including those contained in this report. Please also see the section entitled “Cautionary Statement Pursuant to the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995” in this quarterly report on Form 10-Q. There have been no material changes to the risk factors we have disclosed in the “Risk Factors” section of our aforementioned Annual Report on Form 10-K.
No wording changes found in this section.
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Management's Discussion & Analysis (MD&A)
Removed heading “SEC Final Rules on Climate Related Information”
Removed heading “Other Liabilities”
Largest changes
“On March 6, 2024, the SEC adopted The Enhancement and Standardization of Climate-Related Disclosures for Investors ("Final Rule"), which will require registrants to disclose extensive climate-related information in their Form 10-K annual reports and registration statements. The Final Rule was scheduled to become effective May 28, 2024; however, the SEC has voluntarily stayed the rule’s effective date pending judicial review of legal challenges. …”see in full comparison
Corporate revenues totaledsee in full comparison$345$232 and$587$526 for the three months endedMarchJune31,30, 2026 and 2025, respectively, and $577 and $1,113 for the six months ended June 30, 2026 and 2025, respectively. Corporate revenue is mostly generated from investment of OSG's liquid resources and investment results from its previously made strategic investments, including certain minority investments in MGA/Us and an insurtech fund.InvestmentTherevenuesdeclinecomprisedinof net investment income and net investment gains (losses), including impairments, were $398 and $597revenue fortheboththree months ended March 31, 2026 and 2025, respectively. The declineperiods is primarily due to lower average invested assetsdueastoa result of the use of funds for the acquisition of ArmadaCare and share repurchases in the fourth quarter of 2025, as well as lower yields on short-term invested assets in 2026.
Thesee in full comparisonincreasedecrease of$467$600 and $132 in non-compensation G&A expenses for the threemonthsandended March 31, 2026 as compared to the threesix months endedMarchJune31,30,2025,2026, respectively, was driven primarily byintegrationlowerexpensespremium relatedto the ArmadaCaretaxes andPivixprioracquisitions andyear costs associated with thebuild-outsale ofthe Octave Ventures managing agency,AAC, partially offset byathereductionacquisitioninofCorporateArmadaCare,segmentlaunchinitiatives.of new business, and higher expenses related to data, AI and related systems.
The Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance segment has grown significantly since underwriting its first program in May 2021.see in full comparisonTwenty-fourTwenty-seven programs were authorized to issue policies as ofMarchJune31,30, 2026, including Everspan participating in certain programs as a reinsurer.InEverspan2026, Everspan's continuescontinued toseebuild its production levelsbuildin 2026 with growth in new and existing programs. Additionally, Everspan's business mix shifted resulting lower loss ratios and a higher net retention ratio. This growth and business mix shift has resulted in an increase ingross andnet premiums written, net premiums earned, losses and loss expenses incurred, policy acquisition costs in the three andasixshiftmonthsinendedEverspan'sJuneretention30,ratio2026, compared to the same periods of the prior year. Gross premiums decreased in the three months endedMarchJune31,30, 2026comparedandtoincreased in the six months ended June 30, 2026. The decrease in the three months endedMarchJune31,30,2025.2026, is primarily due to the timing differences related to premium production for one significant program and a reduction in participation percentage of an assumed reinsurance program whereas the increase in the six months ended June 30, 2026 is due to growth in new and existing programs. Although losses and loss expenses have increased, the shift in Everspan's netportfoliobusiness mix has led to an improved loss ratio on active programs.
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Unless otherwise noted, this Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations relates solely to our continuing operations and does not include the operations of the Legacy Financial Guarantee business. See "Sale of AAC" belowbelow, Note 3. Discontinued Operations of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements included in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and "Sale of Ambac Assurance Corporation" in Note 5. Discontinued Operations of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 20252025, for additional information about the divestiture of the Legacy Financial Guarantee business.
•Growing and expanding our Insurance Distribution business based on deep domain knowledge in specialty and niche classes of risk which generate attractive margins at scale. ThisWe willexpect beto achievedachieve throughthis by establishing new businesses “de-novo,” organic growth and diversification, and select acquisitions supported by a centralized technology-led shared services offering;
•Growing our Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance business to generate underwriting profits from a diversified portfolio of commercial and personal liability risks accessed primarily through affiliated and non-affiliated program administrators. In addition, we may seek strategic relationshipsrelationships, and/partnerships or partnershipsother transactions with unaffiliated parties in order to expand our capital base and/or product offerings, access to reinsurance capacity and other business or operational advantages.
For all periods leading up to the sale, AAC's results of operations and OSG's loss on sale are reported within Net income (loss) to shareholders from discontinued operations beforeafter tax on the Consolidated StatementStatements of Comprehensive Income (Loss).
During the first quarter of 2026, the minority owners of Octave Ventures exercised their option to put a portion of their remaining interest, representing 10% of Octave Ventures, to OSG. As a result, OSG acquired an additional 10% of Octave Ventures increasing its to 70% as of March 31, 2026. In addition, select minority owners of certain MGAs underlying Octave Ventures exercised their put options with respect to a portion of their ownership interests and OSG acquired an additional stake in Capacity Marine Corporation. These transactions had no impact on our first quarter results of operations and were reflected in our results of operations beginning with the second quarter of 2026. See Note 1. Background and Business Description - Redeemable Noncontrolling Interest for further information.
During the first quarter of 2026 certain holders exercised their put options. See Note 1. Background and Business Description - Redeemable Noncontrolling Interest for further information.
SEC Final Rules on Climate Related Information
On March 6, 2024, the SEC adopted The Enhancement and Standardization of Climate-Related Disclosures for Investors ("Final Rule"), which will require registrants to disclose extensive climate-related information in their Form 10-K annual reports and registration statements. The Final Rule was scheduled to become effective May 28, 2024; however, the SEC has voluntarily stayed the rule’s effective date pending judicial review of legal challenges. In March 2025, the SEC ended its defense of the Final Rule, and in September 2025, the Eighth Circuit ordered that the litigation would be held in abeyance until such time that the SEC reconsiders or renews its defense of the Final Rule.
(1) Excludes $2,058 of commission income, $123 of policy acquisition costs and $1,622 of commission expense related to intersegment activities, which are eliminated for consolidation, for the three and six months ended June 30, 2026. Refer to Note 2. Segment Information for additional information.
Octave's results for the three and six months ended MarchJune 31,30, 20262026, compared to the three and six months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2025, were materially impacted by the following:
•Transactions within the ID segment
◦Effective October 31, 2025, Octave acquired 100% of ArmadaCare. In connection with the acquisition, Octave borrowed $120,000 under a new bank funded credit facility. On April 1, 2026, Octave borrowed an additional $40,000 under the credit facility in connection with the acquisition of an additional 10% of Octave Ventures. Refer to Note 9. Debt of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements included in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for further detail on these credit facility borrowings.
•Acquisitions within the ID segment have had a significant impact on the comparability of results between 2026 and 2025.
•Effective October 31, 2025, Octave acquired 100% of ArmadaCare.
•◦Effective September 1, 2025, Octave exercised its option to convert its $3,500 convertible note investment in Pivixa start-up MGA, resulting in an approximate 74% ownership interest and nowinclusion ownsof approximatelythe 74%.MGA in consolidated results.
◦Effective March 31, 2026, the minority owners of Octave Ventures exercised their option to put a portion of their remaining interest, representing 10% of Octave Ventures, to OSG.
•The sale of AAC
•On September 29, 2025, Octave completed the sale of AAC. AAC's results, including Octave's loss on the sale of AAC are reported within discontinued operations. Refer to Note 4.
◦On September 29, 2025, Octave completed the sale of its legacy financial guarantee business. AAC's results, including Octave's loss on the sale of AAC are reported within discontinued operations. Refer to Note 3. Discontinued Operations of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements included in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and Note 5. Discontinued Operations of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, and for further details on the sale and results for the three and six months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2025. As a result of the sale, Octave repaid all of the outstanding debt used to acquire Octave Ventures, amounting to $150,000, and purchased AAC's co-investment in Octave Ventures of $62 million. Concurrent with the sale, OSG entered into a number of transactions as discussed in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, including transactions intended to lower the long term run-rate of corporate operating expenses.
•Repayment of Debt
◦On September 29, 2025, Octave repaid all of the outstanding debt used to acquire its original 60% interest in Octave Ventures, amounting to $150,000, using the proceeds from the sale of AAC. Concurrent with the sale, OSG entered into a number of transactions as discussed in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, including transactions intended to lower the long term run-rate of corporate operating expenses.
The following describes the consolidated results of continuing operations of Octave and its subsidiaries for the three and six months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2026 and 2025.
Gross Premiums Written Gross premiums written decreased $1,545 and increased $16,801$15,256 for the three and six months ended MarchJune 31,30, 20262026, respectively, compared to the same periodperiods inof the prior year.
The decrease for the three months ended June 30, 2026, related mostly to the shift in business mix and timing of premiums written compared to the three months ended June 30, 2025. The increase for the six months ended June 30, 2026, is primarily driven by growth in new and existing programs, partially offset by a reduction in participation of an assumed reinsurance transaction and the shift in the business mix.
The increase is primarily driven by growth in new and existing programs partially offset by the non-renewal of certain programs.
Net Premiums Written Net premiums written increased $14,445$7,935 and $22,379 for the three and six months ended MarchJune 31,30, 20262026, respectively, compared to the same periodperiods inof the prior year.
The increase is primarily driven by growth in new and existing programs, including certain programs with a high retention ratioratios partially offset by a reduction in the non-renewalparticipation ofrate certainon programs.an assumed reinsurance program and the shift in the business mix.
Net Premiums Earned Net premiums earned increased $4,323$5,546 and $9,869 for the three and six months ended MarchJune 31,30, 20262026, respectively, compared to the same periodperiods inof the prior year.
The increase is primarily driven by growth in new and existing programs, including certain programs with a high retention ratio partially offset by the non-renewalshift ofin certainthe programs.business mix.
Commission Income and Commission Expense Commission income increased $31,407$19,406 and $50,813 for the three and six months ended MarchJune 31,30, 20262026, respectively, as compared to the same period in the prior year.
The increase was primarily due to strong ID organic growth in premiums placed as well as the acquisition of ArmadaCare in October of 2025. Commission income included profit commissions (based on underwriting performance) of $6,188$5,620 and $2,266 for the three months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2026,2026 and $4,6912025, respectively, and $11,808 and $6,957 for the threesix months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2025. The increase for the three months ended March 31, 2026, was primarily driven by increase at Octave Ventures2026 and Xchange2025, Benefits.respectively.
Commission expense increased $3,640$1,105 and $4,745 for the three and six months ended MarchJune 31,30, 20262026, respectively, as compared to the same periodperiods of the prior year. Commission expense represented approximately 22% and 32% of commission income for the three months ended March 31, 2026 and 2025, respectively. The decrease inlower commission expense relative to commission income in 2026 relative to 2025 is related primarily to the ArmadaArmadaCare acquisition aspartially offset by a change in gross-to-net reporting for one MGA. ArmadaCare produces a majority of their business is produced internally and has a lower external broker commisisoncommission modelmodel. as well as change in gross to net reporting at Octave Ventures. Because third parties are paid commissions to obtain business, theThe majority of Octave Ventures' commission income is reported net of any distribution and commission expenses, due to the nature of its program agreements. The majority of the ID segment's other MGA/Us report their commission income gross of distribution and commission expenses.
Program Fees Program fee revenues were $3,644$3,293 and $3,652$3,497 for the three months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2026 and 2025, respectively, and $6,937 and $7,149 for the six months ended June 30, 2026 and 2025, respectively. Program fee revenues represent the recognition of ceding commissions in excess of direct acquisition costs received from reinsurers and minimum fees received from MGA/Us until related programs reach certain levels of premium ceded. Program fees are charged as a percentage of premiums ceded to reinsurers as a component of total ceding commissions. Program fees for three and six months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2026 are flatslightly lower versus the three and six months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2025, due to growththe shift in existingnet programsretention levels partially offset by impactgrowth of a shift to retained from fronted forin certain programs.
Net Investment Income Net investment income consists of interest income, including the net effect of discount accretion and premium amortization, from fixed maturity securities classified as available for saleavailable-for-sale and net gains (losses) on pooled investment funds that are reported under the equity method. These funds and certain other investments are reported in Other investments on the Consolidated Balance Sheets. For further information about investment funds held, refer to Note 4. Investments of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements included this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.
Net investment income decreased $460$732 and $1,192 for the three and six months ended MarchJune 31,30, 20262026, respectively, compared to the same periodperiods inof the prior year due primarily to lower Corporate short-term investment yields and balances following the acquisition of ArmadaCare and lower average Everspan asset balances.
Servicing and Other Fees Servicing and other fees increased $4,398$1,441 and $5,839 for the three and six months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2026.2026, respectively, compared to the same periods of the prior year. Servicing and other fees include revenues earned for providing operational and administrative services to theour Lloyd's syndicatessyndicates, managed by OctaveStatera, Venturesour asLloyd's wellManaging asAgent; program administration,administration; healthpolicy; connections,and set-up and renewal fees related to ArmadaCare and Pivix.fees.
Other Revenues Other revenues includes (i) net investment gains (losses) on securities sold or called, net of investment impairment charges; (ii) foreign exchange gains (losses) from the ID segment; and (iii) net gains (losses) on derivative contracts including FX forward contracts used to manage currency risk within the ID segment. Other revenues for the three months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2026, of $6302026 and for the three months ended March 31, 2025, of $435 and $(1,1242,146), respectively, were driven primarily by foreign exchange gains (losses) on non-functional currency operations of Octave Ventures, net of the offsetting effects of FX forward contracts. Other revenues for the six months ended June 30, 2026 and 2025, of $1,065 and $(3,270), respectively, were driven primarily by foreign exchange gains and (losses) on non-functional currency operations of Octave Ventures, net of the offsetting effects of FX forward contracts.
Loss and loss adjustment expenses incurred increased $9,183$2,368 and $11,551 for the three and six months ended MarchJune 31,30, 20262026, compared to the same periodperiods inof the prior year.
The higher loss and loss adjustment expenses for the three months ended June 30, 2026, is primarily due to the growth in our P&C program business. The higher loss and loss adjustment expenses for the six months ended June 30, 2026, is due to the growth in existingour andP&C additionprogram of new programsbusiness and prior period development primarily related to (i) $2,125 of net losses and $5,787 of LAE (legal expenses) from the first quarter 2026 settlement of a potential litigation matter related to an insurance claim, and (ii) slight reserve strengthening on an excess liability program and claim fees.
General and Administrative Expenses (G&A) The following table provides a summary of G&A expenses for the threeperiods months ended March 31, 2026 and 2025:presented.
The increase of $14,157$11,474 and 25,631 in compensation expenses during the three and six months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2026, respectively, was driven primarily by higher compensation costs due to (i) the acquisitionsacquisition of ArmadaCare and Pivix,launch of new business, (ii) changes in performance factors and timing of long-term incentive grants in 2025, (iii) expansionthe launch of Octaveour Venture'sLloyd's managing agency, and (iv) acceleration of RSUs & PSUs of terminated employees,severance and severance.related costs.
The increasedecrease of $467$600 and $132 in non-compensation G&A expenses for the three monthsand ended March 31, 2026 as compared to the threesix months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2025,2026, respectively, was driven primarily by integrationlower expensespremium related to the ArmadaCaretaxes and Pivixprior acquisitions andyear costs associated with the build-outsale of the Octave Ventures managing agency,AAC, partially offset by athe reductionacquisition inof CorporateArmadaCare, segmentlaunch initiatives.of new business, and higher expenses related to data, AI and related systems.
Intangible Amortization and Depreciation. The increase in intangible amortization and depreciation of $3,038$2,523 and $5,561 for the three and six months ended MarchJune 31,30, 20262026, respectively, as compared to the threesame monthsperiods endedof Marchthe 31,prior 2025,year, was primarily due to the ArmadaCare acquisition.
Interest Expense The decrease in interest expense of $3,364$2,796 and $6,160 for the three and six months ended MarchJune 31,30, 20262026, respectively, as compared to the threesame monthsperiods endedof Marchthe 31,prior 2025,year, was due primarily to a lower loan balance,balance and a reduced interest rate,rate. and priorPrior year interest expense also includes duration fees and extension fees.
Provision (Benefit) for Income Taxes The provision (benefit) for income taxes primarily relates to international operations and was $485 for the three months ended June 30, 2026, compared to $(4812,172) for the three months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2025. The provision (benefit) for income taxes was $4 for the six months ended June 30, 2026 compared to $(6172,789) for the threesix months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2025. The tax benefit recognized in the current year includes current tax expense associated with Octave Venturesour UK operations, partially offset by the deferred tax benefitbenefits related to the recognition of UK deferred tax assets generated by Octave Ventures US and amortization of finite-lived intangible assets associated with Octave Ventures UK and US operations.assets.
(1) Includes $7,700 premiums placed, as well as $2,058 of commission income and $1,622 of commission expense related to intersegment activities for the three and six months ended June 30, 2026. Refer to Note 2. Segment Information for additional information.
Octave's ID companies are compensated for their services primarily by commissions paid by insurance carriers for underwriting, structuring and/or administering polices, and in some cases, the managing of claims under an agency agreement. Commission revenues are usuallyprimarily based on a percentage of the premiums placed. In addition, we are eligible to receive profit sharing contingent commissions based on the underwriting results of certain programs underwritten by our MGA/Us. These profit commissions may fluctuate from period to period resulting in some variability in revenue and earnings.
Higher premiums placed were driven by the acquisition of ArmadaCare and organic growth.
For the three months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2026, the increase in premiums placed was driven by the acquisition of ArmadaCare and changesorganic togrowth. The growth in premiums written, as well as the mix of business writtenwritten, leddrove toan the growthincrease in commission income and commission expense of 85%71% and (35.1)%,37%, respectively. For the six months ended June 30, 2026, commission income and commission expense increased 79% and 36%, respectively, driven by the same factors as those driving the increase for the three months ended June 30, 2026.
Commission income included profit commissions (based on underwriting performance) of $5,620 and $2,266 for the three months ended June 30, 2026 and 2025, respectively, and $11,808 and $6,957 for the six months ended June 30, 2026 and 2025, respectively. Excluding profit commissions, commission expense was approximately 21% and 26% of commission income for the three months ended June 30, 2026 and 2025, respectively, and 22% and 29% for the six months ended June 30, 2026 and 2025, respectively.
The increase in G&A expenses of $15,154$13,461 and $28,616 for the three monthsand ended March 31, 2026 as compared to the threesix months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2025,2026, respectively, was primarily due to the acquisition of ArmadaCare, launch of Pivix as well as increase in staffing for the build outlaunch of new businessesMGAs atand Octavethe Ventures.Managing Agency business and organic staff increases.
ID pretax income (loss) for the three months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2026, was $16,785$(846) compared to a loss of $(2,24310,173) for the three months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2025. ID pretax income for the six months ended June 30, 2026, was $15,939 compared to a loss of $(12,416) for the six months ended June 30, 2025. The higher pretax income for the three and six months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2026, compared to the prior year period mostly related to higher Netnet Commissionscommissions and Feesfees related to the ArmadaCare acquisition and organic growth as well as lower interest expense, offset partially offset by higher G&A expenses and intangible amortization.
The ID EBITDA forincrease of $9,189 and $27,923 during the three monthsand ended March 31, 2026, was $30,817 compared to $12,083 for the threesix months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2025.2026, The increaserespectively, was primarily driven by an increase in commission income due to acquisitionsthe Armada acquisition and organic growth.
Our ID businesses may experience seasonal impacts on their revenues and net results. For example, our A&H businesses collectively produce the majority of their business in the first quarter of each year resulting in revenue and earnings concentrations in the first quarter. Similar concentrations of production, revenue and earnings also occurs in the fourth quarter, driven by our non-A&H businesses, but generally to a lesser degree. Seasonal impacts on the ID segment, and therefore Octave's results, may increase or decrease and shift over time depending on the relative growth of certain classes of business, impact of acquisitions, impact of de-novo MGAs and market conditions. In addition, while our ID business has experienced strong organic growth in 2026, it is important to note that nominal and organic growth rates will fluctuate from period to period due to a number of factors related to our specific businesses as well as macro and industry conditions, including but not limited to the timing and size of new program launches, renewals, market pricing cycles, shifts in capacity availability and risk appetite, and changes in insured exposures.. Furthermore, not all of our ID businesses may grow simultaneously. For example, during the second quarter of 2026 while our ID business produced strong nominal and organic growth rates, certain of our MGAs, such as our property focused MGAs, reduced their underwriting activity resulting in lower commission revenues period over period.
(1)Includes $123 of policy acquisition costs related to intersegment activity for the three and six months ended June 30, 2026. Refer to Note 2. Segment Information for additional information.
The Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance segment has grown significantly since underwriting its first program in May 2021. Twenty-fourTwenty-seven programs were authorized to issue policies as of MarchJune 31,30, 2026, including Everspan participating in certain programs as a reinsurer. InEverspan 2026, Everspan's continuescontinued to seebuild its production levels buildin 2026 with growth in new and existing programs. Additionally, Everspan's business mix shifted resulting lower loss ratios and a higher net retention ratio. This growth and business mix shift has resulted in an increase in gross and net premiums written, net premiums earned, losses and loss expenses incurred, policy acquisition costs in the three and asix shiftmonths inended Everspan'sJune retention30, ratio2026, compared to the same periods of the prior year. Gross premiums decreased in the three months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2026 comparedand toincreased in the six months ended June 30, 2026. The decrease in the three months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2025.2026, is primarily due to the timing differences related to premium production for one significant program and a reduction in participation percentage of an assumed reinsurance program whereas the increase in the six months ended June 30, 2026 is due to growth in new and existing programs. Although losses and loss expenses have increased, the shift in Everspan's net portfoliobusiness mix has led to an improved loss ratio on active programs.
The change in the Loss and LAE ratio during the three months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2026, was driven by a shift in business mix. The change in the Loss and LAE ratio during the six months ended June 30, 2026, was driven by $2,125 of net losses and $5,787 of LAE (legal expenses) from the settlement of a potential litigation matter related to an insurance claim, partially offset by a shirtshift in business mix. The threesix months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2026, contained prior years loss strengthening equating to 44.5%21.7% of which 39.6%19.0% relates this settlement. The remaining amount primarily relates to an excess liability claim and ULAE. The three and six months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2025, contained minimal prior years loss strengthening equating to 1.1%.1.0% and 1.0%, respectively, driven primarily by excess liability loss experience.
In addition to the increase in the Loss and LAE ratio forFor the three and six months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2026, compared to the threesame monthsprior endedyear March 31, 2025, there was a charge toperiods, acquisition costs resultingwere fromaffected by sliding scale commission arrangements with program partners. SuchSliding chargescale commissions increased the Specialty Property and Casualty Insurance segment's expense ratio by 1.4%1.0% and —%1.2% forduring the three and six months ended MarchJune 31,30, 20262026, respectively. During the three and six months ended June 30, 2025, there was a benefit from sliding scale commission arrangements with program partners resulting in a decrease to acquisition costs that reduced the expense ratio by 2.6% and 1.3%, respectively. Certain Everspan programs were structured to include sliding scale commission arrangements within a loss ratio range. These sliding scale arrangements help mitigate losses, protect underwriting results and limit earnings volatility.
The increasedecrease in G&A expenses of $2,201$763 for the three months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2026 aswas comparedprimarily due to a decrease in premium taxes. The increase of $1,437 for the threesix months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2025,2026 was primarily due to severance and acceleratedrelated incentivecosts; compensationpartially offset by a premium tax true-up in additionthe toprior higher premium taxes driven by increased premiums written.year.
Corporate revenues totaled $345$232 and $587$526 for the three months ended MarchJune 31,30, 2026 and 2025, respectively, and $577 and $1,113 for the six months ended June 30, 2026 and 2025, respectively. Corporate revenue is mostly generated from investment of OSG's liquid resources and investment results from its previously made strategic investments, including certain minority investments in MGA/Us and an insurtech fund. InvestmentThe revenuesdecline comprisedin of net investment income and net investment gains (losses), including impairments, were $398 and $597revenue for theboth three months ended March 31, 2026 and 2025, respectively. The declineperiods is primarily due to lower average invested assets dueas toa result of the use of funds for the acquisition of ArmadaCare and share repurchases in the fourth quarter of 2025, as well as lower yields on short-term invested assets in 2026.
OSG insider buying and selling (Form 4)
Since 2026-04-11, insiders reported open-market purchases in 0 Form 4 filings and open-market sales in 0 filings. Totals add up every open-market (code P and S) line in those filings, using the prices reported in the filings. Awards, option exercises, tax withholding and gifts are listed below but not counted.
| Trade date | Insider | Transaction | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Leblanc Claude |
Option exercise | 15,229 | — | — |
| 2026-10-03 | Leblanc Claude |
Shares withheld for tax | 8,421 | $4.60 | $38.7K |
| 2026-10-03 | Leblanc Claude |
Option exercise | 11,628 | — | — |
| 2026-10-03 | Leblanc Claude |
Shares withheld for tax | 11,638 | $4.60 | $53.5K |
| 2026-10-03 | Smith R Sharon |
Option exercise | 2,539 | — | — |
| 2026-10-03 | Smith R Sharon |
Shares withheld for tax | 2,539 | $4.60 | $11.7K |
| 2026-10-03 | Trick David |
Option exercise | 3,047 | — | — |
| 2026-10-03 | Trick David |
Shares withheld for tax | 3,047 | $4.60 | $14.0K |
| 2026-07-09 | Leblanc Claude |
Shares withheld for tax | 21,777 | $6.08 | $132.4K |
| 2026-07-09 | Leblanc Claude |
Option exercise | 39,380 | — | — |
| 2026-07-09 | Smith R Sharon |
Option exercise | 11,779 | — | — |
| 2026-07-09 | Smith R Sharon |
Shares withheld for tax | 4,635 | $6.08 | $28.2K |
| 2026-07-09 | Trick David |
Option exercise | 13,206 | — | — |
| 2026-07-09 | Trick David |
Shares withheld for tax | 6,741 | $6.08 | $41.0K |
Well-known investors holding OSG (13F)
| Investor | Quarter | Shares | Reported value | % of their 13F | Change vs prior quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citadel Advisors (Ken Griffin) | 2026-06-30 | 422,777 | $2.6M | 0.0% | Reduced 2% |
| AQR Capital Management (Cliff Asness) | 2026-06-30 | 229,890 | $1.4M | 0.0% | Added 361% |
| Renaissance Technologies | 2026-06-30 | 117,200 | $731.3K | 0.0% | Reduced 49% |
| Point72 Asset Management (Steve Cohen) | 2026-06-30 | 113,656 | $528.5K | — | Sold out |
| Millennium Management (Israel Englander) | 2026-06-30 | 19,610 | $122.4K | 0.0% | Reduced 85% |
| D. E. Shaw & Co. | 2026-06-30 | 12,207 | $76.2K | 0.0% | Reduced 5% |